**Forecast consensus from multiple models positions the overnight minimum on September 3 near 25–26 °C, supporting the market’s leading outcomes at those levels.** Persistent cloud cover, scattered showers or thunderstorms, and northeasterly flow are limiting radiative cooling overnight while keeping daytime highs in the upper 20s to low 30s °C. Recent model runs show relatively stable conditions without a strong cold-air intrusion or clear-sky radiative setup that would drop temperatures further. Historical early-September climatology for Shanghai (average lows near 20–22 °C) is being exceeded due to elevated humidity and residual monsoon moisture, narrowing the distribution around the current forecast range. Updated guidance through the next 48 hours will refine exact overnight values ahead of market resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Shanghai on September 3?
Lowest temperature in Shanghai on September 3?
26°C 52%
27°C 22%
29°C 20%
25°C 17%
BARU
BARU
Sep 3, 2026
22°C or below
15%
23°C
10%
24°C
12%
25°C
17%
26°C
52%
27°C
22%
28°C
15%
29°C
20%
30°C
14%
31°C
10%
32°C or higher
8%
26°C 52%
27°C 22%
29°C 20%
25°C 17%
BARU
BARU
Sep 3, 2026
22°C or below
$5 Vol.
15%
23°C
$20 Vol.
10%
24°C
$0 Vol.
12%
25°C
$0 Vol.
17%
26°C
$12 Vol.
52%
27°C
$0 Vol.
22%
28°C
$0 Vol.
15%
29°C
$5 Vol.
20%
30°C
$5 Vol.
14%
31°C
$5 Vol.
10%
32°C or higher
$5 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus from multiple models positions the overnight minimum on September 3 near 25–26 °C, supporting the market’s leading outcomes at those levels.** Persistent cloud cover, scattered showers or thunderstorms, and northeasterly flow are limiting radiative cooling overnight while keeping daytime highs in the upper 20s to low 30s °C.
Recent model runs show relatively stable conditions without a strong cold-air intrusion or clear-sky radiative setup that would drop temperatures further. Historical early-September climatology for Shanghai (average lows near 20–22 °C) is being exceeded due to elevated humidity and residual monsoon moisture, narrowing the distribution around the current forecast range. Updated guidance through the next 48 hours will refine exact overnight values ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$57Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus from multiple models positions the overnight minimum on September 3 near 25–26 °C, supporting the market’s leading outcomes at those levels.** Persistent cloud cover, scattered showers or thunderstorms, and northeasterly flow are limiting radiative cooling overnight while keeping daytime highs in the upper 20s to low 30s °C.
Recent model runs show relatively stable conditions without a strong cold-air intrusion or clear-sky radiative setup that would drop temperatures further. Historical early-September climatology for Shanghai (average lows near 20–22 °C) is being exceeded due to elevated humidity and residual monsoon moisture, narrowing the distribution around the current forecast range. Updated guidance through the next 48 hours will refine exact overnight values ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$57Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast consensus from multiple models positions the overnight minimum on September 3 near 25–26 °C, supporting the market’s leading outcomes at those levels.** Persistent cloud cover, scattered showers or thunderstorms, and northeasterly flow are limiting radiative cooling overnight while keeping daytime highs in the upper 20s to low 30s °C. Recent model runs show relatively stable conditions without a strong cold-air intrusion or clear-sky radiative setup that would drop temperatures further. Historical early-September climatology for Shanghai (average lows near 20–22 °C) is being exceeded due to elevated humidity and residual monsoon moisture, narrowing the distribution around the current forecast range. Updated guidance through the next 48 hours will refine exact overnight values ahead of market resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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