Recent forecasts from global models indicate a high near 26–27°C for Cape Town on September 6 under clear skies and light southeast winds, with ensemble spreads producing the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 25–28°C. Numerical weather prediction uncertainty arises from subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing, sea-breeze timing, and the strength of the subtropical high, all of which can shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Historical September maxima average near 18–20°C, so current guidance reflects a warmer-than-normal spring pattern driven by reduced cloud cover and downslope warming. Traders are weighting the latest high-resolution runs most heavily, with the narrow probability distribution reflecting genuine forecast dispersion rather than strong model consensus on any single degree. Updated model cycles and observational data in the next 48 hours will likely refine these odds.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Cape Town on September 6?
Highest temperature in Cape Town on September 6?
26°C 34%
27°C 23%
28°C 18%
25°C 16%
BARU
BARU
Sep 6, 2026
22°C or below
4%
23°C
5%
24°C
3%
25°C
16%
26°C
26%
27°C
23%
28°C
18%
29°C
9%
30°C
5%
31°C
3%
32°C or higher
3%
26°C 34%
27°C 23%
28°C 18%
25°C 16%
BARU
BARU
Sep 6, 2026
22°C or below
$0 Vol.
4%
23°C
$81 Vol.
5%
24°C
$7 Vol.
3%
25°C
$23 Vol.
16%
26°C
$63 Vol.
26%
27°C
$671 Vol.
23%
28°C
$124 Vol.
18%
29°C
$0 Vol.
9%
30°C
$0 Vol.
5%
31°C
$0 Vol.
3%
32°C or higher
$5 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from global models indicate a high near 26–27°C for Cape Town on September 6 under clear skies and light southeast winds, with ensemble spreads producing the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 25–28°C. Numerical weather prediction uncertainty arises from subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing, sea-breeze timing, and the strength of the subtropical high, all of which can shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Historical September maxima average near 18–20°C, so current guidance reflects a warmer-than-normal spring pattern driven by reduced cloud cover and downslope warming. Traders are weighting the latest high-resolution runs most heavily, with the narrow probability distribution reflecting genuine forecast dispersion rather than strong model consensus on any single degree. Updated model cycles and observational data in the next 48 hours will likely refine these odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 4, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$973Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 6, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 4, 2026, 12:58 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from global models indicate a high near 26–27°C for Cape Town on September 6 under clear skies and light southeast winds, with ensemble spreads producing the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 25–28°C. Numerical weather prediction uncertainty arises from subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing, sea-breeze timing, and the strength of the subtropical high, all of which can shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Historical September maxima average near 18–20°C, so current guidance reflects a warmer-than-normal spring pattern driven by reduced cloud cover and downslope warming. Traders are weighting the latest high-resolution runs most heavily, with the narrow probability distribution reflecting genuine forecast dispersion rather than strong model consensus on any single degree. Updated model cycles and observational data in the next 48 hours will likely refine these odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$973Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 6, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 4, 2026, 12:58 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from global models indicate a high near 26–27°C for Cape Town on September 6 under clear skies and light southeast winds, with ensemble spreads producing the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 25–28°C. Numerical weather prediction uncertainty arises from subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing, sea-breeze timing, and the strength of the subtropical high, all of which can shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Historical September maxima average near 18–20°C, so current guidance reflects a warmer-than-normal spring pattern driven by reduced cloud cover and downslope warming. Traders are weighting the latest high-resolution runs most heavily, with the narrow probability distribution reflecting genuine forecast dispersion rather than strong model consensus on any single degree. Updated model cycles and observational data in the next 48 hours will likely refine these odds.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan