Current forecasts from multiple models, including those aligned with South African Weather Service guidance, indicate clear skies and a minimum temperature near 13–15°C for Cape Town on September 6, driven by light southeasterly flow and stable high pressure following a cut-off low that produced early-September lows as cold as 5.9°C. Trader sentiment prices 11°C or below highest at 43% implied probability, reflecting caution over residual model spread, potential for localized radiational cooling under clear conditions, or slight downward revisions in overnight guidance. Recent warming trend and climatological spring baselines around 14–15°C minimums support the clustering of probabilities near 13–14°C, while lower odds on warmer thresholds capture limited upside from stronger mixing. Updated model runs and official briefings ahead of the date remain the key near-term catalysts.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Cape Town on September 6?
Lowest temperature in Cape Town on September 6?
11°C or below 75%
21°C or higher 59%
15°C 49%
16°C 49%
BARU
BARU
Sep 6, 2026
11°C or below
75%
12°C
28%
13°C
32%
14°C
31%
15°C
49%
16°C
49%
17°C
20%
18°C
9%
19°C
13%
20°C
13%
21°C or higher
59%
11°C or below 75%
21°C or higher 59%
15°C 49%
16°C 49%
BARU
BARU
Sep 6, 2026
11°C or below
$8 Vol.
75%
12°C
$0 Vol.
28%
13°C
$0 Vol.
32%
14°C
$0 Vol.
31%
15°C
$0 Vol.
49%
16°C
$0 Vol.
49%
17°C
$0 Vol.
20%
18°C
$0 Vol.
9%
19°C
$0 Vol.
13%
20°C
$0 Vol.
13%
21°C or higher
$0 Vol.
59%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from multiple models, including those aligned with South African Weather Service guidance, indicate clear skies and a minimum temperature near 13–15°C for Cape Town on September 6, driven by light southeasterly flow and stable high pressure following a cut-off low that produced early-September lows as cold as 5.9°C. Trader sentiment prices 11°C or below highest at 43% implied probability, reflecting caution over residual model spread, potential for localized radiational cooling under clear conditions, or slight downward revisions in overnight guidance. Recent warming trend and climatological spring baselines around 14–15°C minimums support the clustering of probabilities near 13–14°C, while lower odds on warmer thresholds capture limited upside from stronger mixing. Updated model runs and official briefings ahead of the date remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 4, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$8Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 6, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 4, 2026, 12:31 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from multiple models, including those aligned with South African Weather Service guidance, indicate clear skies and a minimum temperature near 13–15°C for Cape Town on September 6, driven by light southeasterly flow and stable high pressure following a cut-off low that produced early-September lows as cold as 5.9°C. Trader sentiment prices 11°C or below highest at 43% implied probability, reflecting caution over residual model spread, potential for localized radiational cooling under clear conditions, or slight downward revisions in overnight guidance. Recent warming trend and climatological spring baselines around 14–15°C minimums support the clustering of probabilities near 13–14°C, while lower odds on warmer thresholds capture limited upside from stronger mixing. Updated model runs and official briefings ahead of the date remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$8Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 6, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 4, 2026, 12:31 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from multiple models, including those aligned with South African Weather Service guidance, indicate clear skies and a minimum temperature near 13–15°C for Cape Town on September 6, driven by light southeasterly flow and stable high pressure following a cut-off low that produced early-September lows as cold as 5.9°C. Trader sentiment prices 11°C or below highest at 43% implied probability, reflecting caution over residual model spread, potential for localized radiational cooling under clear conditions, or slight downward revisions in overnight guidance. Recent warming trend and climatological spring baselines around 14–15°C minimums support the clustering of probabilities near 13–14°C, while lower odds on warmer thresholds capture limited upside from stronger mixing. Updated model runs and official briefings ahead of the date remain the key near-term catalysts.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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