**Ongoing heat wave conditions and suppressed marine layer influence are elevating overnight minimum temperatures in San Francisco ahead of September 10.** Official forecasts from sources including the National Weather Service and private models currently project lows in the low-to-mid 60s°F, consistent with the market’s leading 62-63°F bin (51.5% implied probability) and nearby 64-65°F (29%) and 60-61°F (23%) ranges. A Heat Advisory remains in effect through Thursday evening, with reduced onshore flow and a shallow or absent marine layer allowing warmer air to persist overnight—pushing minimums well above the long-term September average of ~56°F. Recent model runs show limited cooling potential from the Pacific, though any strengthening sea breeze or increased cloud cover could nudge the low slightly lower within the 60-65°F cluster. Traders are weighting these near-term dynamical factors heavily, as the resolution window is only hours away and small shifts in boundary-layer moisture or wind direction could alter the exact minimum by a degree or two.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in San Francisco on September 10?
Lowest temperature in San Francisco on September 10?
62-63°F 57%
55°F or below 43%
74°F or higher 40%
72-73°F 32%
BARU
BARU
Sep 10, 2026
55°F or below
43%
56-57°F
31%
58-59°F
15%
60-61°F
21%
62-63°F
52%
64-65°F
22%
66-67°F
29%
68-69°F
30%
70-71°F
30%
72-73°F
32%
74°F or higher
40%
62-63°F 57%
55°F or below 43%
74°F or higher 40%
72-73°F 32%
BARU
BARU
Sep 10, 2026
55°F or below
$0 Vol.
43%
56-57°F
$0 Vol.
31%
58-59°F
$0 Vol.
15%
60-61°F
$133 Vol.
21%
62-63°F
$92 Vol.
52%
64-65°F
$29 Vol.
22%
66-67°F
$0 Vol.
29%
68-69°F
$0 Vol.
30%
70-71°F
$0 Vol.
30%
72-73°F
$0 Vol.
32%
74°F or higher
$0 Vol.
40%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Ongoing heat wave conditions and suppressed marine layer influence are elevating overnight minimum temperatures in San Francisco ahead of September 10.**
Official forecasts from sources including the National Weather Service and private models currently project lows in the low-to-mid 60s°F, consistent with the market’s leading 62-63°F bin (51.5% implied probability) and nearby 64-65°F (29%) and 60-61°F (23%) ranges. A Heat Advisory remains in effect through Thursday evening, with reduced onshore flow and a shallow or absent marine layer allowing warmer air to persist overnight—pushing minimums well above the long-term September average of ~56°F. Recent model runs show limited cooling potential from the Pacific, though any strengthening sea breeze or increased cloud cover could nudge the low slightly lower within the 60-65°F cluster. Traders are weighting these near-term dynamical factors heavily, as the resolution window is only hours away and small shifts in boundary-layer moisture or wind direction could alter the exact minimum by a degree or two.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 8, 2026, 7:29 AM ET
Volume
$254Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 10, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 8, 2026, 7:29 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Ongoing heat wave conditions and suppressed marine layer influence are elevating overnight minimum temperatures in San Francisco ahead of September 10.**
Official forecasts from sources including the National Weather Service and private models currently project lows in the low-to-mid 60s°F, consistent with the market’s leading 62-63°F bin (51.5% implied probability) and nearby 64-65°F (29%) and 60-61°F (23%) ranges. A Heat Advisory remains in effect through Thursday evening, with reduced onshore flow and a shallow or absent marine layer allowing warmer air to persist overnight—pushing minimums well above the long-term September average of ~56°F. Recent model runs show limited cooling potential from the Pacific, though any strengthening sea breeze or increased cloud cover could nudge the low slightly lower within the 60-65°F cluster. Traders are weighting these near-term dynamical factors heavily, as the resolution window is only hours away and small shifts in boundary-layer moisture or wind direction could alter the exact minimum by a degree or two.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$254Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 10, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 8, 2026, 7:29 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Ongoing heat wave conditions and suppressed marine layer influence are elevating overnight minimum temperatures in San Francisco ahead of September 10.** Official forecasts from sources including the National Weather Service and private models currently project lows in the low-to-mid 60s°F, consistent with the market’s leading 62-63°F bin (51.5% implied probability) and nearby 64-65°F (29%) and 60-61°F (23%) ranges. A Heat Advisory remains in effect through Thursday evening, with reduced onshore flow and a shallow or absent marine layer allowing warmer air to persist overnight—pushing minimums well above the long-term September average of ~56°F. Recent model runs show limited cooling potential from the Pacific, though any strengthening sea breeze or increased cloud cover could nudge the low slightly lower within the 60-65°F cluster. Traders are weighting these near-term dynamical factors heavily, as the resolution window is only hours away and small shifts in boundary-layer moisture or wind direction could alter the exact minimum by a degree or two.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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