**Latest surface observations and numerical weather prediction consensus from regional models indicate Shenzhen will reach a daily maximum of 32°C on September 9 under partly cloudy skies with light easterly flow.** This aligns with climatological September averages near 31°C and current atmospheric conditions featuring moderate humidity (50–70%) and minimal convective cooling. Official monitoring stations and short-range forecasts consistently show afternoon peaks stabilizing at this level rather than climbing higher or dropping due to rain. The near-certain market pricing reflects this strong observational agreement, though final resolution could shift if post-event quality-controlled data from the China Meteorological Administration revises the peak or if localized thunderstorms unexpectedly suppress temperatures below the threshold.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Shenzhen on September 9?
32°C 99.8%
33°C <1%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
$39,630 Vol.
$39,630 Vol.
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
100%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
32°C 99.8%
33°C <1%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
$39,630 Vol.
$39,630 Vol.
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
100%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 7, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Latest surface observations and numerical weather prediction consensus from regional models indicate Shenzhen will reach a daily maximum of 32°C on September 9 under partly cloudy skies with light easterly flow.** This aligns with climatological September averages near 31°C and current atmospheric conditions featuring moderate humidity (50–70%) and minimal convective cooling. Official monitoring stations and short-range forecasts consistently show afternoon peaks stabilizing at this level rather than climbing higher or dropping due to rain. The near-certain market pricing reflects this strong observational agreement, though final resolution could shift if post-event quality-controlled data from the China Meteorological Administration revises the peak or if localized thunderstorms unexpectedly suppress temperatures below the threshold.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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