Current forecast consensus from models such as GFS and ECMWF indicates a daily high near 34°C in Guangzhou on September 9, supported by a lingering warm air mass, light northeasterly flow, and partial cloud cover that limits full diurnal heating. Recent observations show highs of 34–35°C on September 7–8 amid mostly clear skies and low precipitation, while scattered showers expected midday on the 9th could suppress peaks by 1–2°C through evaporative cooling and reduced insolation. Historical September averages hover around 32.5°C, yet the current pattern aligns with above-normal conditions noted in official outlooks. Market-implied odds reflect model spread and timing uncertainties around convective development, with 33–35°C outcomes dominating trader positioning ahead of updated runs.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Guangzhou on September 9?
Highest temperature in Guangzhou on September 9?
34°C 33%
35°C 21%
33°C 17%
37°C 17%
BARU
BARU
Sep 9, 2026
28°C or below
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
3%
31°C
2%
32°C
7%
33°C
17%
34°C
33%
35°C
21%
36°C
6%
37°C
17%
38°C or higher
5%
34°C 33%
35°C 21%
33°C 17%
37°C 17%
BARU
BARU
Sep 9, 2026
28°C or below
$0 Vol.
1%
29°C
$0 Vol.
1%
30°C
$5 Vol.
3%
31°C
$15 Vol.
2%
32°C
$0 Vol.
7%
33°C
$2 Vol.
17%
34°C
$0 Vol.
33%
35°C
$5 Vol.
21%
36°C
$0 Vol.
6%
37°C
$0 Vol.
17%
38°C or higher
$0 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast consensus from models such as GFS and ECMWF indicates a daily high near 34°C in Guangzhou on September 9, supported by a lingering warm air mass, light northeasterly flow, and partial cloud cover that limits full diurnal heating. Recent observations show highs of 34–35°C on September 7–8 amid mostly clear skies and low precipitation, while scattered showers expected midday on the 9th could suppress peaks by 1–2°C through evaporative cooling and reduced insolation. Historical September averages hover around 32.5°C, yet the current pattern aligns with above-normal conditions noted in official outlooks. Market-implied odds reflect model spread and timing uncertainties around convective development, with 33–35°C outcomes dominating trader positioning ahead of updated runs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 7, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$27Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 9, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 7, 2026, 12:58 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast consensus from models such as GFS and ECMWF indicates a daily high near 34°C in Guangzhou on September 9, supported by a lingering warm air mass, light northeasterly flow, and partial cloud cover that limits full diurnal heating. Recent observations show highs of 34–35°C on September 7–8 amid mostly clear skies and low precipitation, while scattered showers expected midday on the 9th could suppress peaks by 1–2°C through evaporative cooling and reduced insolation. Historical September averages hover around 32.5°C, yet the current pattern aligns with above-normal conditions noted in official outlooks. Market-implied odds reflect model spread and timing uncertainties around convective development, with 33–35°C outcomes dominating trader positioning ahead of updated runs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$27Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 9, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 7, 2026, 12:58 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast consensus from models such as GFS and ECMWF indicates a daily high near 34°C in Guangzhou on September 9, supported by a lingering warm air mass, light northeasterly flow, and partial cloud cover that limits full diurnal heating. Recent observations show highs of 34–35°C on September 7–8 amid mostly clear skies and low precipitation, while scattered showers expected midday on the 9th could suppress peaks by 1–2°C through evaporative cooling and reduced insolation. Historical September averages hover around 32.5°C, yet the current pattern aligns with above-normal conditions noted in official outlooks. Market-implied odds reflect model spread and timing uncertainties around convective development, with 33–35°C outcomes dominating trader positioning ahead of updated runs.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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