Current forecast models from sources like NOAA-aligned regional guidance and Chinese meteorological agencies point to overnight lows in Guangzhou settling between 24–27°C on September 9, driven by high dew points near 22–23°C, persistent humidity above 70%, and limited radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies with scattered thunderstorms. These conditions, typical for the late-summer East Asian monsoon transition, suppress sharp temperature drops while variable steering winds and timing of convective outflows create small but market-relevant differences among model runs. Historical September 9 minima average 24.6°C, providing context for why 26°C and 27°C outcomes remain tightly contested near 49% each, with fresh model updates expected to refine the exact threshold before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Guangzhou on September 9?
Lowest temperature in Guangzhou on September 9?
25°C 47%
23°C 9%
21°C 3%
20°C or below 1.0%
BARU
BARU
Sep 9, 2026
20°C or below
1%
21°C
3%
22°C
1%
23°C
9%
24°C
1%
25°C
47%
26°C
50%
27°C
50%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
25°C 47%
23°C 9%
21°C 3%
20°C or below 1.0%
BARU
BARU
Sep 9, 2026
20°C or below
$180 Vol.
1%
21°C
$80 Vol.
3%
22°C
$114 Vol.
1%
23°C
$30 Vol.
9%
24°C
$89 Vol.
1%
25°C
$16 Vol.
47%
26°C
$36 Vol.
50%
27°C
$25 Vol.
50%
28°C
$130 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$154 Vol.
<1%
30°C or higher
$193 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from sources like NOAA-aligned regional guidance and Chinese meteorological agencies point to overnight lows in Guangzhou settling between 24–27°C on September 9, driven by high dew points near 22–23°C, persistent humidity above 70%, and limited radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies with scattered thunderstorms. These conditions, typical for the late-summer East Asian monsoon transition, suppress sharp temperature drops while variable steering winds and timing of convective outflows create small but market-relevant differences among model runs. Historical September 9 minima average 24.6°C, providing context for why 26°C and 27°C outcomes remain tightly contested near 49% each, with fresh model updates expected to refine the exact threshold before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 7, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$1,046Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 9, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 7, 2026, 12:31 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from sources like NOAA-aligned regional guidance and Chinese meteorological agencies point to overnight lows in Guangzhou settling between 24–27°C on September 9, driven by high dew points near 22–23°C, persistent humidity above 70%, and limited radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies with scattered thunderstorms. These conditions, typical for the late-summer East Asian monsoon transition, suppress sharp temperature drops while variable steering winds and timing of convective outflows create small but market-relevant differences among model runs. Historical September 9 minima average 24.6°C, providing context for why 26°C and 27°C outcomes remain tightly contested near 49% each, with fresh model updates expected to refine the exact threshold before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,046Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 9, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 7, 2026, 12:31 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from sources like NOAA-aligned regional guidance and Chinese meteorological agencies point to overnight lows in Guangzhou settling between 24–27°C on September 9, driven by high dew points near 22–23°C, persistent humidity above 70%, and limited radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies with scattered thunderstorms. These conditions, typical for the late-summer East Asian monsoon transition, suppress sharp temperature drops while variable steering winds and timing of convective outflows create small but market-relevant differences among model runs. Historical September 9 minima average 24.6°C, providing context for why 26°C and 27°C outcomes remain tightly contested near 49% each, with fresh model updates expected to refine the exact threshold before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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