The southwest monsoon, or habagat, currently dominates Manila’s weather with persistent cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and light-to-moderate southwest winds that limit solar heating and keep daytime maxima in the upper 20s to low 30s °C. PAGASA observations and short-range guidance show recent highs near 28 °C under similar conditions, while ensemble forecasts for September 11 indicate modest clearing potential that could allow brief peaks near 30–31 °C. A developing moderate-to-strong El Niño may support longer-term warmth but exerts limited influence over the next 48 hours amid active monsoon flow. Traders appear to balance these factors by assigning the highest implied probabilities to 30 °C and 31 °C, reflecting uncertainty in exact cloud timing and any late-day breaks. Updated PAGASA and global model runs over the coming day will likely refine the precise threshold.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Manila on September 11?
Highest temperature in Manila on September 11?
32°C 29%
30°C 27%
31°C 24%
29°C 15%
BARU
BARU
Sep 11, 2026
24°C or below
4%
25°C
3%
26°C
3%
27°C
6%
28°C
10%
29°C
15%
30°C
27%
31°C
24%
32°C
29%
33°C
9%
34°C or higher
9%
32°C 29%
30°C 27%
31°C 24%
29°C 15%
BARU
BARU
Sep 11, 2026
24°C or below
$0 Vol.
4%
25°C
$132 Vol.
3%
26°C
$0 Vol.
3%
27°C
$9 Vol.
6%
28°C
$0 Vol.
10%
29°C
$0 Vol.
15%
30°C
$0 Vol.
27%
31°C
$0 Vol.
24%
32°C
$0 Vol.
29%
33°C
$0 Vol.
9%
34°C or higher
$0 Vol.
9%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The southwest monsoon, or habagat, currently dominates Manila’s weather with persistent cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and light-to-moderate southwest winds that limit solar heating and keep daytime maxima in the upper 20s to low 30s °C. PAGASA observations and short-range guidance show recent highs near 28 °C under similar conditions, while ensemble forecasts for September 11 indicate modest clearing potential that could allow brief peaks near 30–31 °C. A developing moderate-to-strong El Niño may support longer-term warmth but exerts limited influence over the next 48 hours amid active monsoon flow. Traders appear to balance these factors by assigning the highest implied probabilities to 30 °C and 31 °C, reflecting uncertainty in exact cloud timing and any late-day breaks. Updated PAGASA and global model runs over the coming day will likely refine the precise threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 9, 2026, 12:59 AM ET
Volume
$141Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 11, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 9, 2026, 12:59 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The southwest monsoon, or habagat, currently dominates Manila’s weather with persistent cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and light-to-moderate southwest winds that limit solar heating and keep daytime maxima in the upper 20s to low 30s °C. PAGASA observations and short-range guidance show recent highs near 28 °C under similar conditions, while ensemble forecasts for September 11 indicate modest clearing potential that could allow brief peaks near 30–31 °C. A developing moderate-to-strong El Niño may support longer-term warmth but exerts limited influence over the next 48 hours amid active monsoon flow. Traders appear to balance these factors by assigning the highest implied probabilities to 30 °C and 31 °C, reflecting uncertainty in exact cloud timing and any late-day breaks. Updated PAGASA and global model runs over the coming day will likely refine the precise threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$141Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 11, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 9, 2026, 12:59 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllResolver
0x69c47De9D...The southwest monsoon, or habagat, currently dominates Manila’s weather with persistent cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and light-to-moderate southwest winds that limit solar heating and keep daytime maxima in the upper 20s to low 30s °C. PAGASA observations and short-range guidance show recent highs near 28 °C under similar conditions, while ensemble forecasts for September 11 indicate modest clearing potential that could allow brief peaks near 30–31 °C. A developing moderate-to-strong El Niño may support longer-term warmth but exerts limited influence over the next 48 hours amid active monsoon flow. Traders appear to balance these factors by assigning the highest implied probabilities to 30 °C and 31 °C, reflecting uncertainty in exact cloud timing and any late-day breaks. Updated PAGASA and global model runs over the coming day will likely refine the precise threshold.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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