**Persistent southwest monsoon activity and widespread cloud cover from expected thunderstorms are keeping trader-implied odds tightly clustered around 28–30°C for Manila’s September 9 high.** Official PAGASA guidance and short-range models show continued heavy rainfall and overcast conditions that suppress daytime heating below the typical 31°C September average, with most forecasts pointing to maxima near 28–29°C. High humidity, reduced solar insolation from thick cloud layers, and evaporative cooling from frequent showers create a narrow temperature range, while minor variations in storm timing or intensity explain the close probabilities between 28°C and 30°C. Near-term model updates from global ensembles will likely refine the exact peak before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Manila on September 9?
Highest temperature in Manila on September 9?
29°C 26%
28°C 22%
30°C 19%
27°C 14%
BARU
BARU
Sep 9, 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
4%
26°C
4%
27°C
14%
28°C
22%
29°C
26%
30°C
19%
31°C
10%
32°C
2%
33°C or higher
1%
29°C 26%
28°C 22%
30°C 19%
27°C 14%
BARU
BARU
Sep 9, 2026
23°C or below
$240 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$240 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$0 Vol.
4%
26°C
$25 Vol.
4%
27°C
$7 Vol.
14%
28°C
$25 Vol.
22%
29°C
$0 Vol.
26%
30°C
$36 Vol.
19%
31°C
$0 Vol.
10%
32°C
$0 Vol.
2%
33°C or higher
$100 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent southwest monsoon activity and widespread cloud cover from expected thunderstorms are keeping trader-implied odds tightly clustered around 28–30°C for Manila’s September 9 high.**
Official PAGASA guidance and short-range models show continued heavy rainfall and overcast conditions that suppress daytime heating below the typical 31°C September average, with most forecasts pointing to maxima near 28–29°C. High humidity, reduced solar insolation from thick cloud layers, and evaporative cooling from frequent showers create a narrow temperature range, while minor variations in storm timing or intensity explain the close probabilities between 28°C and 30°C. Near-term model updates from global ensembles will likely refine the exact peak before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 7, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$674Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 9, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 7, 2026, 12:58 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent southwest monsoon activity and widespread cloud cover from expected thunderstorms are keeping trader-implied odds tightly clustered around 28–30°C for Manila’s September 9 high.**
Official PAGASA guidance and short-range models show continued heavy rainfall and overcast conditions that suppress daytime heating below the typical 31°C September average, with most forecasts pointing to maxima near 28–29°C. High humidity, reduced solar insolation from thick cloud layers, and evaporative cooling from frequent showers create a narrow temperature range, while minor variations in storm timing or intensity explain the close probabilities between 28°C and 30°C. Near-term model updates from global ensembles will likely refine the exact peak before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$674Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 9, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 7, 2026, 12:58 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Persistent southwest monsoon activity and widespread cloud cover from expected thunderstorms are keeping trader-implied odds tightly clustered around 28–30°C for Manila’s September 9 high.** Official PAGASA guidance and short-range models show continued heavy rainfall and overcast conditions that suppress daytime heating below the typical 31°C September average, with most forecasts pointing to maxima near 28–29°C. High humidity, reduced solar insolation from thick cloud layers, and evaporative cooling from frequent showers create a narrow temperature range, while minor variations in storm timing or intensity explain the close probabilities between 28°C and 30°C. Near-term model updates from global ensembles will likely refine the exact peak before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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