Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble forecasts indicate a high-pressure ridge building over the Pacific Northwest, promoting clear to partly cloudy skies and light northerly flow that favors daytime warming in Seattle on September 9. Model consensus centers on a maximum temperature near 76°F, with limited afternoon mixing and minimal marine influence supporting that outcome while keeping the risk of exceeding 80°F low. This aligns with the market’s heavy weighting toward the 76-77°F bin and explains the secondary support for 78-79°F amid typical forecast spread. Historical September averages near 72°F provide context for the current warmer signal, though traders continue monitoring the next model runs for any adjustments in ridge strength or onshore flow.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Seattle on September 9?
Highest temperature in Seattle on September 9?
76-77°F 50%
78-79°F 32%
70-71°F 12%
74-75°F 10%
BARU
BARU
Sep 9, 2026
67°F or below
1%
68-69°F
2%
70-71°F
12%
72-73°F
7%
74-75°F
10%
76-77°F
50%
78-79°F
32%
80-81°F
5%
82-83°F
3%
84-85°F
2%
86°F or higher
3%
76-77°F 50%
78-79°F 32%
70-71°F 12%
74-75°F 10%
BARU
BARU
Sep 9, 2026
67°F or below
$0 Vol.
1%
68-69°F
$0 Vol.
2%
70-71°F
$0 Vol.
12%
72-73°F
$0 Vol.
7%
74-75°F
$0 Vol.
10%
76-77°F
$482 Vol.
50%
78-79°F
$7 Vol.
32%
80-81°F
$5 Vol.
5%
82-83°F
$0 Vol.
3%
84-85°F
$0 Vol.
2%
86°F or higher
$0 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble forecasts indicate a high-pressure ridge building over the Pacific Northwest, promoting clear to partly cloudy skies and light northerly flow that favors daytime warming in Seattle on September 9. Model consensus centers on a maximum temperature near 76°F, with limited afternoon mixing and minimal marine influence supporting that outcome while keeping the risk of exceeding 80°F low. This aligns with the market’s heavy weighting toward the 76-77°F bin and explains the secondary support for 78-79°F amid typical forecast spread. Historical September averages near 72°F provide context for the current warmer signal, though traders continue monitoring the next model runs for any adjustments in ridge strength or onshore flow.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 7, 2026, 7:55 AM ET
Volume
$494Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 9, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 7, 2026, 7:55 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kseaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble forecasts indicate a high-pressure ridge building over the Pacific Northwest, promoting clear to partly cloudy skies and light northerly flow that favors daytime warming in Seattle on September 9. Model consensus centers on a maximum temperature near 76°F, with limited afternoon mixing and minimal marine influence supporting that outcome while keeping the risk of exceeding 80°F low. This aligns with the market’s heavy weighting toward the 76-77°F bin and explains the secondary support for 78-79°F amid typical forecast spread. Historical September averages near 72°F provide context for the current warmer signal, though traders continue monitoring the next model runs for any adjustments in ridge strength or onshore flow.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$494Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 9, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 7, 2026, 7:55 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kseaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble forecasts indicate a high-pressure ridge building over the Pacific Northwest, promoting clear to partly cloudy skies and light northerly flow that favors daytime warming in Seattle on September 9. Model consensus centers on a maximum temperature near 76°F, with limited afternoon mixing and minimal marine influence supporting that outcome while keeping the risk of exceeding 80°F low. This aligns with the market’s heavy weighting toward the 76-77°F bin and explains the secondary support for 78-79°F amid typical forecast spread. Historical September averages near 72°F provide context for the current warmer signal, though traders continue monitoring the next model runs for any adjustments in ridge strength or onshore flow.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan