**Trader consensus has coalesced around a 16°C minimum for São Paulo on September 9, reflecting verified station observations from the Instituto Nacional de Meteorologia (Inmet) network.** A cold front that brought record-low readings earlier in the month (including 10.1°C on September 7) continued to influence conditions, with clear skies and light winds overnight allowing efficient radiational cooling to that precise threshold before daytime warming resumed. Model consensus and real-time METAR reports aligned closely with this outcome, consistent with September climatology for the region where minima typically range 12–16°C. The overwhelming market-implied probability leaves little room for revision unless post-event quality control adjusts the official reading or a secondary station reports a meaningfully different value.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Sao Paulo on September 9?
Lowest temperature in Sao Paulo on September 9?
16°C 99.5%
15°C 6%
14°C 2%
12°C 1.0%
$1,662 Vol.
$1,662 Vol.
Sep 9, 2026
11°C or below
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
Yes
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C or higher
No
16°C 99.5%
15°C 6%
14°C 2%
12°C 1.0%
$1,662 Vol.
$1,662 Vol.
Sep 9, 2026
11°C or below
$83 Vol.
No
12°C
$64 Vol.
No
13°C
$30 Vol.
No
14°C
$38 Vol.
No
15°C
$73 Vol.
No
16°C
$549 Vol.
Yes
17°C
$75 Vol.
No
18°C
$239 Vol.
No
19°C
$119 Vol.
No
20°C
$189 Vol.
No
21°C or higher
$205 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus has coalesced around a 16°C minimum for São Paulo on September 9, reflecting verified station observations from the Instituto Nacional de Meteorologia (Inmet) network.** A cold front that brought record-low readings earlier in the month (including 10.1°C on September 7) continued to influence conditions, with clear skies and light winds overnight allowing efficient radiational cooling to that precise threshold before daytime warming resumed. Model consensus and real-time METAR reports aligned closely with this outcome, consistent with September climatology for the region where minima typically range 12–16°C. The overwhelming market-implied probability leaves little room for revision unless post-event quality control adjusts the official reading or a secondary station reports a meaningfully different value.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 7, 2026, 8:28 AM ET
Volume
$1,662Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 9, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 7, 2026, 8:28 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: No
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus has coalesced around a 16°C minimum for São Paulo on September 9, reflecting verified station observations from the Instituto Nacional de Meteorologia (Inmet) network.** A cold front that brought record-low readings earlier in the month (including 10.1°C on September 7) continued to influence conditions, with clear skies and light winds overnight allowing efficient radiational cooling to that precise threshold before daytime warming resumed. Model consensus and real-time METAR reports aligned closely with this outcome, consistent with September climatology for the region where minima typically range 12–16°C. The overwhelming market-implied probability leaves little room for revision unless post-event quality control adjusts the official reading or a secondary station reports a meaningfully different value.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,662Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 9, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 7, 2026, 8:28 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: No
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: No
**Trader consensus has coalesced around a 16°C minimum for São Paulo on September 9, reflecting verified station observations from the Instituto Nacional de Meteorologia (Inmet) network.** A cold front that brought record-low readings earlier in the month (including 10.1°C on September 7) continued to influence conditions, with clear skies and light winds overnight allowing efficient radiational cooling to that precise threshold before daytime warming resumed. Model consensus and real-time METAR reports aligned closely with this outcome, consistent with September climatology for the region where minima typically range 12–16°C. The overwhelming market-implied probability leaves little room for revision unless post-event quality control adjusts the official reading or a secondary station reports a meaningfully different value.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan