Current National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs project a Monday high near 93°F in Houston under mostly sunny skies with a 30-40% afternoon thunderstorm chance and southerly flow maintaining humidity near 60%. These conditions favor peak readings in the low-to-mid 90s, consistent with September climatology around 90°F, though model spread and timing of any convection introduce modest uncertainty about whether peaks could edge higher if cloud cover or rain arrives later than expected. Trader positioning, with 100°F-plus carrying the largest share of implied probability, reflects awareness of late-summer heat potential and historical variability in short-range guidance, while the clustered 19-20% probabilities on 90-99°F bins capture the consensus range from the latest forecast updates.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Houston on September 14?
Highest temperature in Houston on September 14?
90-91°F 36%
94-95°F 35%
92-93°F 30%
96-97°F 22%
BARU
BARU
Sep 14, 2026
81°F or below
7%
82-83°F
7%
84-85°F
15%
86-87°F
16%
88-89°F
20%
90-91°F
36%
92-93°F
30%
94-95°F
35%
96-97°F
22%
98-99°F
10%
100°F or higher
16%
90-91°F 36%
94-95°F 35%
92-93°F 30%
96-97°F 22%
BARU
BARU
Sep 14, 2026
81°F or below
$0 Vol.
7%
82-83°F
$0 Vol.
7%
84-85°F
$19 Vol.
15%
86-87°F
$0 Vol.
16%
88-89°F
$0 Vol.
20%
90-91°F
$0 Vol.
36%
92-93°F
$0 Vol.
30%
94-95°F
$0 Vol.
35%
96-97°F
$0 Vol.
22%
98-99°F
$0 Vol.
10%
100°F or higher
$0 Vol.
16%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs project a Monday high near 93°F in Houston under mostly sunny skies with a 30-40% afternoon thunderstorm chance and southerly flow maintaining humidity near 60%. These conditions favor peak readings in the low-to-mid 90s, consistent with September climatology around 90°F, though model spread and timing of any convection introduce modest uncertainty about whether peaks could edge higher if cloud cover or rain arrives later than expected. Trader positioning, with 100°F-plus carrying the largest share of implied probability, reflects awareness of late-summer heat potential and historical variability in short-range guidance, while the clustered 19-20% probabilities on 90-99°F bins capture the consensus range from the latest forecast updates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 12, 2026, 3:56 AM ET
Volume
$19Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 14, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 12, 2026, 3:56 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs project a Monday high near 93°F in Houston under mostly sunny skies with a 30-40% afternoon thunderstorm chance and southerly flow maintaining humidity near 60%. These conditions favor peak readings in the low-to-mid 90s, consistent with September climatology around 90°F, though model spread and timing of any convection introduce modest uncertainty about whether peaks could edge higher if cloud cover or rain arrives later than expected. Trader positioning, with 100°F-plus carrying the largest share of implied probability, reflects awareness of late-summer heat potential and historical variability in short-range guidance, while the clustered 19-20% probabilities on 90-99°F bins capture the consensus range from the latest forecast updates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$19Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 14, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 12, 2026, 3:56 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs project a Monday high near 93°F in Houston under mostly sunny skies with a 30-40% afternoon thunderstorm chance and southerly flow maintaining humidity near 60%. These conditions favor peak readings in the low-to-mid 90s, consistent with September climatology around 90°F, though model spread and timing of any convection introduce modest uncertainty about whether peaks could edge higher if cloud cover or rain arrives later than expected. Trader positioning, with 100°F-plus carrying the largest share of implied probability, reflects awareness of late-summer heat potential and historical variability in short-range guidance, while the clustered 19-20% probabilities on 90-99°F bins capture the consensus range from the latest forecast updates.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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