The overwhelming market consensus at 27°C reflects official Hong Kong Observatory temperature records for September 12, which showed afternoon readings near 29–30°C declining to a verified minimum of 27°C overnight amid typical late-summer humidity and light easterly flow. Real-time station data captured this exact low without significant nocturnal cooling from clearer skies or stronger winds that might have produced a lower value. Traders assign negligible probability to adjacent outcomes because preliminary observations align closely with the final “Absolute Daily Min” criterion used for resolution, though minor adjustments in the forthcoming Daily Extract could theoretically shift the result if instrumentation or quality-control revisions occur. Historical September minima average near 24–25°C, underscoring how elevated overnight temperatures on this date produced the observed 27°C floor.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Hong Kong on September 12?
Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on September 12?
27°C 96.0%
26°C <1%
31°C <1%
32°C or higher <1%
$109,672 Vol.
$109,672 Vol.
Sep 12, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
96%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C or higher
1%
27°C 96.0%
26°C <1%
31°C <1%
32°C or higher <1%
$109,672 Vol.
$109,672 Vol.
Sep 12, 2026
22°C or below
$528 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$2,001 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$4,259 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$6,059 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$2,393 Vol.
1%
27°C
$7,118 Vol.
96%
28°C
$86,944 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$82 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$157 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$76 Vol.
1%
32°C or higher
$54 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The overwhelming market consensus at 27°C reflects official Hong Kong Observatory temperature records for September 12, which showed afternoon readings near 29–30°C declining to a verified minimum of 27°C overnight amid typical late-summer humidity and light easterly flow. Real-time station data captured this exact low without significant nocturnal cooling from clearer skies or stronger winds that might have produced a lower value. Traders assign negligible probability to adjacent outcomes because preliminary observations align closely with the final “Absolute Daily Min” criterion used for resolution, though minor adjustments in the forthcoming Daily Extract could theoretically shift the result if instrumentation or quality-control revisions occur. Historical September minima average near 24–25°C, underscoring how elevated overnight temperatures on this date produced the observed 27°C floor.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 10, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$109,672Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 12, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 10, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The overwhelming market consensus at 27°C reflects official Hong Kong Observatory temperature records for September 12, which showed afternoon readings near 29–30°C declining to a verified minimum of 27°C overnight amid typical late-summer humidity and light easterly flow. Real-time station data captured this exact low without significant nocturnal cooling from clearer skies or stronger winds that might have produced a lower value. Traders assign negligible probability to adjacent outcomes because preliminary observations align closely with the final “Absolute Daily Min” criterion used for resolution, though minor adjustments in the forthcoming Daily Extract could theoretically shift the result if instrumentation or quality-control revisions occur. Historical September minima average near 24–25°C, underscoring how elevated overnight temperatures on this date produced the observed 27°C floor.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$109,672Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 12, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 10, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The overwhelming market consensus at 27°C reflects official Hong Kong Observatory temperature records for September 12, which showed afternoon readings near 29–30°C declining to a verified minimum of 27°C overnight amid typical late-summer humidity and light easterly flow. Real-time station data captured this exact low without significant nocturnal cooling from clearer skies or stronger winds that might have produced a lower value. Traders assign negligible probability to adjacent outcomes because preliminary observations align closely with the final “Absolute Daily Min” criterion used for resolution, though minor adjustments in the forthcoming Daily Extract could theoretically shift the result if instrumentation or quality-control revisions occur. Historical September minima average near 24–25°C, underscoring how elevated overnight temperatures on this date produced the observed 27°C floor.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan