Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a highest temperature in Hong Kong on September 13 most likely between 28–30°C, aligning with the closely matched market-implied odds for those outcomes. Easterly winds, persistent cloud cover, and scattered showers or thunderstorms—driven by a broad low-pressure trough over the northern South China Sea—are expected to limit solar heating and cap daytime peaks, while high humidity and dew points near 24–25°C further moderate maxima. These conditions occur against a backdrop of normal-to-above-normal September temperatures influenced by a developing strong El Niño and long-term warming trends. The Hong Kong Observatory’s official recording at its headquarters will resolve the market, with final data typically available shortly after 8 p.m. local time.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Hong Kong on September 13?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on September 13?
29°C 37%
30°C 30%
28°C 19%
31°C 12%
BARU
BARU
Sep 13, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
6%
28°C
19%
29°C
37%
30°C
30%
31°C
12%
32°C
3%
33°C
1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
29°C 37%
30°C 30%
28°C 19%
31°C 12%
BARU
BARU
Sep 13, 2026
25°C or below
$538 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$610 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$1,616 Vol.
6%
28°C
$3,167 Vol.
19%
29°C
$1,029 Vol.
37%
30°C
$391 Vol.
30%
31°C
$926 Vol.
12%
32°C
$562 Vol.
3%
33°C
$424 Vol.
1%
34°C
$549 Vol.
<1%
35°C or higher
$153 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a highest temperature in Hong Kong on September 13 most likely between 28–30°C, aligning with the closely matched market-implied odds for those outcomes. Easterly winds, persistent cloud cover, and scattered showers or thunderstorms—driven by a broad low-pressure trough over the northern South China Sea—are expected to limit solar heating and cap daytime peaks, while high humidity and dew points near 24–25°C further moderate maxima. These conditions occur against a backdrop of normal-to-above-normal September temperatures influenced by a developing strong El Niño and long-term warming trends. The Hong Kong Observatory’s official recording at its headquarters will resolve the market, with final data typically available shortly after 8 p.m. local time.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 11, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$9,964Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 13, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 11, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a highest temperature in Hong Kong on September 13 most likely between 28–30°C, aligning with the closely matched market-implied odds for those outcomes. Easterly winds, persistent cloud cover, and scattered showers or thunderstorms—driven by a broad low-pressure trough over the northern South China Sea—are expected to limit solar heating and cap daytime peaks, while high humidity and dew points near 24–25°C further moderate maxima. These conditions occur against a backdrop of normal-to-above-normal September temperatures influenced by a developing strong El Niño and long-term warming trends. The Hong Kong Observatory’s official recording at its headquarters will resolve the market, with final data typically available shortly after 8 p.m. local time.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$9,964Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 13, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 11, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a highest temperature in Hong Kong on September 13 most likely between 28–30°C, aligning with the closely matched market-implied odds for those outcomes. Easterly winds, persistent cloud cover, and scattered showers or thunderstorms—driven by a broad low-pressure trough over the northern South China Sea—are expected to limit solar heating and cap daytime peaks, while high humidity and dew points near 24–25°C further moderate maxima. These conditions occur against a backdrop of normal-to-above-normal September temperatures influenced by a developing strong El Niño and long-term warming trends. The Hong Kong Observatory’s official recording at its headquarters will resolve the market, with final data typically available shortly after 8 p.m. local time.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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