**Trader consensus heavily favors 27°C as the lowest temperature in Hong Kong on September 13, reflecting model consensus from official forecasts showing overnight lows holding near 26–27°C amid typical late-summer conditions.** High humidity near 80–95%, light easterly winds, and persistent cloud cover limit radiative cooling overnight, consistent with climatological September minima around 24–26°C and recent observational trends. Official agency guidance, including updated model runs, supports this range with minimal expected deviation. A sudden clearing of skies or stronger northerly flow could allow greater cooling toward 25°C or below, though current atmospheric stability and steering patterns make such shifts unlikely before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Hong Kong on September 13?
27°C 93%
26°C 6%
25°C 3%
24°C 2%
$19,884 Vol.
$19,884 Vol.
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
2%
25°C
3%
26°C
6%
27°C
93%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
27°C 93%
26°C 6%
25°C 3%
24°C 2%
$19,884 Vol.
$19,884 Vol.
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
2%
25°C
3%
26°C
6%
27°C
93%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus heavily favors 27°C as the lowest temperature in Hong Kong on September 13, reflecting model consensus from official forecasts showing overnight lows holding near 26–27°C amid typical late-summer conditions.** High humidity near 80–95%, light easterly winds, and persistent cloud cover limit radiative cooling overnight, consistent with climatological September minima around 24–26°C and recent observational trends. Official agency guidance, including updated model runs, supports this range with minimal expected deviation. A sudden clearing of skies or stronger northerly flow could allow greater cooling toward 25°C or below, though current atmospheric stability and steering patterns make such shifts unlikely before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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