Recent forecasts and seasonal norms position 24°C as the leading outcome for Mexico City's maximum temperature on September 14, with models from sources like Yr and local analyses indicating highs near 23–24°C amid the ongoing rainy season. Mexico City's high elevation around 2,240 meters typically caps September daytime peaks at 23–24°C on average, as frequent cloud cover and afternoon showers suppress stronger heating. Current conditions show stable atmospheric patterns with moderate precipitation chances that align with historical baselines rather than extremes, explaining trader consensus around the 24°C and 25°C bins while downweighting cooler or hotter thresholds. New observational data and updated model runs expected in the next 48 hours will refine these implied probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Mexico City on September 14?
Highest temperature in Mexico City on September 14?
24°C 42%
26°C or higher 28%
25°C 23%
23°C 21%
BARU
BARU
Sep 14, 2026
16°C or below
4%
17°C
4%
18°C
4%
19°C
4%
20°C
2%
21°C
3%
22°C
11%
23°C
21%
24°C
42%
25°C
23%
26°C or higher
28%
24°C 42%
26°C or higher 28%
25°C 23%
23°C 21%
BARU
BARU
Sep 14, 2026
16°C or below
$0 Vol.
4%
17°C
$0 Vol.
4%
18°C
$0 Vol.
4%
19°C
$0 Vol.
4%
20°C
$0 Vol.
2%
21°C
$0 Vol.
3%
22°C
$0 Vol.
11%
23°C
$216 Vol.
21%
24°C
$49 Vol.
42%
25°C
$0 Vol.
23%
26°C or higher
$0 Vol.
28%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts and seasonal norms position 24°C as the leading outcome for Mexico City's maximum temperature on September 14, with models from sources like Yr and local analyses indicating highs near 23–24°C amid the ongoing rainy season. Mexico City's high elevation around 2,240 meters typically caps September daytime peaks at 23–24°C on average, as frequent cloud cover and afternoon showers suppress stronger heating. Current conditions show stable atmospheric patterns with moderate precipitation chances that align with historical baselines rather than extremes, explaining trader consensus around the 24°C and 25°C bins while downweighting cooler or hotter thresholds. New observational data and updated model runs expected in the next 48 hours will refine these implied probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 12, 2026, 8:56 AM ET
Volume
$266Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 14, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 12, 2026, 8:56 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts and seasonal norms position 24°C as the leading outcome for Mexico City's maximum temperature on September 14, with models from sources like Yr and local analyses indicating highs near 23–24°C amid the ongoing rainy season. Mexico City's high elevation around 2,240 meters typically caps September daytime peaks at 23–24°C on average, as frequent cloud cover and afternoon showers suppress stronger heating. Current conditions show stable atmospheric patterns with moderate precipitation chances that align with historical baselines rather than extremes, explaining trader consensus around the 24°C and 25°C bins while downweighting cooler or hotter thresholds. New observational data and updated model runs expected in the next 48 hours will refine these implied probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$266Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 14, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 12, 2026, 8:56 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts and seasonal norms position 24°C as the leading outcome for Mexico City's maximum temperature on September 14, with models from sources like Yr and local analyses indicating highs near 23–24°C amid the ongoing rainy season. Mexico City's high elevation around 2,240 meters typically caps September daytime peaks at 23–24°C on average, as frequent cloud cover and afternoon showers suppress stronger heating. Current conditions show stable atmospheric patterns with moderate precipitation chances that align with historical baselines rather than extremes, explaining trader consensus around the 24°C and 25°C bins while downweighting cooler or hotter thresholds. New observational data and updated model runs expected in the next 48 hours will refine these implied probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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