**Recent official readings from the Hong Kong Observatory and regional stations show a daily maximum of 33°C under partly cloudy skies with easterly flow.** This aligns with mid-September climatology, where average highs hover near 31–32°C amid typical humidity and light winds that limit further warming. Forecast models from agencies like the HKO indicate no significant afternoon surge or cooling shift before sunset, reinforcing the market-implied odds near 100% for 33°C. The primary catalyst remains these verified observations rather than projections. A late-day spike above 34°C or post-event data revision could alter the outcome, though current conditions make such shifts unlikely before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Hong Kong on September 12?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on September 12?
33°C 99.8%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$128,386 Vol.
$128,386 Vol.
Sep 12, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
100%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
33°C 99.8%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$128,386 Vol.
$128,386 Vol.
Sep 12, 2026
25°C or below
$374 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$125 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$608 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$4,821 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$7,702 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$16,232 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$36,954 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$25,431 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$27,482 Vol.
100%
34°C
$7,190 Vol.
<1%
35°C or higher
$1,466 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Recent official readings from the Hong Kong Observatory and regional stations show a daily maximum of 33°C under partly cloudy skies with easterly flow.** This aligns with mid-September climatology, where average highs hover near 31–32°C amid typical humidity and light winds that limit further warming. Forecast models from agencies like the HKO indicate no significant afternoon surge or cooling shift before sunset, reinforcing the market-implied odds near 100% for 33°C. The primary catalyst remains these verified observations rather than projections. A late-day spike above 34°C or post-event data revision could alter the outcome, though current conditions make such shifts unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 10, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$128,386Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 12, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 10, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Recent official readings from the Hong Kong Observatory and regional stations show a daily maximum of 33°C under partly cloudy skies with easterly flow.** This aligns with mid-September climatology, where average highs hover near 31–32°C amid typical humidity and light winds that limit further warming. Forecast models from agencies like the HKO indicate no significant afternoon surge or cooling shift before sunset, reinforcing the market-implied odds near 100% for 33°C. The primary catalyst remains these verified observations rather than projections. A late-day spike above 34°C or post-event data revision could alter the outcome, though current conditions make such shifts unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$128,386Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 12, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 10, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Recent official readings from the Hong Kong Observatory and regional stations show a daily maximum of 33°C under partly cloudy skies with easterly flow.** This aligns with mid-September climatology, where average highs hover near 31–32°C amid typical humidity and light winds that limit further warming. Forecast models from agencies like the HKO indicate no significant afternoon surge or cooling shift before sunset, reinforcing the market-implied odds near 100% for 33°C. The primary catalyst remains these verified observations rather than projections. A late-day spike above 34°C or post-event data revision could alter the outcome, though current conditions make such shifts unlikely before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan