Recent forecasts from Chinese meteorological sources and international models indicate a highest temperature near 30–31°C in Chongqing on September 12 under partly to mostly cloudy skies with light northerly winds, consistent with late-summer conditions in the Sichuan basin. Trader sentiment clusters around 28–30°C because model runs show modest uncertainty from variable cloud cover and residual moisture that could cap daytime heating below official guidance, while historical September averages near 28–29°C provide a baseline. Differentiating these close outcomes hinges on precise timing of any afternoon clearing versus persistent overcast, as even small shifts in insolation or boundary-layer mixing alter peak readings by 1–2°C. New model updates and official China Meteorological Administration briefings expected within 48 hours will likely refine resolution probabilities.