**Recent monsoon-driven cloud cover and thundershower activity are the main factors anchoring trader consensus around 33°C as the most likely maximum temperature in Lucknow on September 10.** Official IMD guidance and multiple forecast models indicate partly to generally cloudy skies with one or two spells of rain or thundershowers, which limit daytime solar heating and cap highs near 32–34°C. On September 9, the Lucknow airport station recorded a maximum of 32.7°C (0.9°C below normal), consistent with the broader pattern of above-average monsoon rainfall suppressing temperatures. High humidity (often 70–85%) and light variable winds further moderate extremes, while the active low-pressure influences over the region sustain convective activity. Historical September climatology for Lucknow shows typical daily maxima of 32–34°C, providing context for the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities. Updated model runs and any late-day IMD briefings could still shift the precise value within the 32–35°C range before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Lucknow on September 10?
33°C 45%
34°C 27%
32°C 16%
35°C 11%
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
2%
31°C
4%
32°C
16%
33°C
45%
34°C
27%
35°C
11%
36°C
3%
37°C or higher
1%
33°C 45%
34°C 27%
32°C 16%
35°C 11%
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
2%
31°C
4%
32°C
16%
33°C
45%
34°C
27%
35°C
11%
36°C
3%
37°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 8, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Recent monsoon-driven cloud cover and thundershower activity are the main factors anchoring trader consensus around 33°C as the most likely maximum temperature in Lucknow on September 10.** Official IMD guidance and multiple forecast models indicate partly to generally cloudy skies with one or two spells of rain or thundershowers, which limit daytime solar heating and cap highs near 32–34°C. On September 9, the Lucknow airport station recorded a maximum of 32.7°C (0.9°C below normal), consistent with the broader pattern of above-average monsoon rainfall suppressing temperatures. High humidity (often 70–85%) and light variable winds further moderate extremes, while the active low-pressure influences over the region sustain convective activity. Historical September climatology for Lucknow shows typical daily maxima of 32–34°C, providing context for the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities. Updated model runs and any late-day IMD briefings could still shift the precise value within the 32–35°C range before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui

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