**Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 99.5% implied probability to a 34°C high in Lucknow on September 9, 2026, reflecting the India Meteorological Department’s official forecast of a 34°C maximum under partly cloudy skies with a 27°C minimum.** IMD observations from Lucknow-Airport the prior day recorded 32.7°C, and multiple numerical weather models align on peak temperatures near this threshold before afternoon convection develops. High humidity near 85% and light northwest winds support gradual warming through midday, while the 30–70% chance of thunderstorms and light rain later in the afternoon is expected to limit further rises. Realistic challenges include stronger or earlier storm activity that enhances evaporative cooling and caps the daily peak below 34°C, or minor station-to-station variations in official reporting. Updated IMD nowcasts and hourly observations through late afternoon will provide the decisive data for market resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Lucknow on September 9?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on September 9?
34°C 99.5%
35°C <1%
36°C <1%
27°C or below <1%
$20,991 Vol.
$20,991 Vol.
Sep 9, 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
100%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
34°C 99.5%
35°C <1%
36°C <1%
27°C or below <1%
$20,991 Vol.
$20,991 Vol.
Sep 9, 2026
27°C or below
$115 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$2,392 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$1,430 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$1,415 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$1,105 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$2,046 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$3,510 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$3,397 Vol.
100%
35°C
$2,095 Vol.
<1%
36°C
$2,095 Vol.
<1%
37°C or higher
$1,391 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 99.5% implied probability to a 34°C high in Lucknow on September 9, 2026, reflecting the India Meteorological Department’s official forecast of a 34°C maximum under partly cloudy skies with a 27°C minimum.**
IMD observations from Lucknow-Airport the prior day recorded 32.7°C, and multiple numerical weather models align on peak temperatures near this threshold before afternoon convection develops. High humidity near 85% and light northwest winds support gradual warming through midday, while the 30–70% chance of thunderstorms and light rain later in the afternoon is expected to limit further rises.
Realistic challenges include stronger or earlier storm activity that enhances evaporative cooling and caps the daily peak below 34°C, or minor station-to-station variations in official reporting. Updated IMD nowcasts and hourly observations through late afternoon will provide the decisive data for market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 7, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$20,991Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 9, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 7, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 99.5% implied probability to a 34°C high in Lucknow on September 9, 2026, reflecting the India Meteorological Department’s official forecast of a 34°C maximum under partly cloudy skies with a 27°C minimum.**
IMD observations from Lucknow-Airport the prior day recorded 32.7°C, and multiple numerical weather models align on peak temperatures near this threshold before afternoon convection develops. High humidity near 85% and light northwest winds support gradual warming through midday, while the 30–70% chance of thunderstorms and light rain later in the afternoon is expected to limit further rises.
Realistic challenges include stronger or earlier storm activity that enhances evaporative cooling and caps the daily peak below 34°C, or minor station-to-station variations in official reporting. Updated IMD nowcasts and hourly observations through late afternoon will provide the decisive data for market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$20,991Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 9, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 7, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 99.5% implied probability to a 34°C high in Lucknow on September 9, 2026, reflecting the India Meteorological Department’s official forecast of a 34°C maximum under partly cloudy skies with a 27°C minimum.** IMD observations from Lucknow-Airport the prior day recorded 32.7°C, and multiple numerical weather models align on peak temperatures near this threshold before afternoon convection develops. High humidity near 85% and light northwest winds support gradual warming through midday, while the 30–70% chance of thunderstorms and light rain later in the afternoon is expected to limit further rises. Realistic challenges include stronger or earlier storm activity that enhances evaporative cooling and caps the daily peak below 34°C, or minor station-to-station variations in official reporting. Updated IMD nowcasts and hourly observations through late afternoon will provide the decisive data for market resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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