Recent Hong Kong Observatory forecasts for September 9 point to a daytime maximum between 27°C and 31°C under easterly winds of 3–5 Beaufort, partial sunshine, and isolated showers, establishing the narrow 30–31°C band as the market focus. Northeast monsoon influence is beginning to moderate regional temperatures after recent hotter conditions, while model consensus on cloud cover and boundary-layer moisture creates uncertainty between those two thresholds. Historical September baselines near 30–31°C further align with current guidance, though any increase in convective activity or thicker cloud could suppress the peak by 1°C. Updated official briefings and real-time observations tomorrow will determine resolution within the tight implied-probability spread.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Hong Kong on September 9?
30°C 40%
31°C 34%
32°C 14%
29°C 11%
$14,515 Vol.
$14,515 Vol.
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
2%
29°C
11%
30°C
40%
31°C
34%
32°C
14%
33°C
1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
30°C 40%
31°C 34%
32°C 14%
29°C 11%
$14,515 Vol.
$14,515 Vol.
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
2%
29°C
11%
30°C
40%
31°C
34%
32°C
14%
33°C
1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 7, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Hong Kong Observatory forecasts for September 9 point to a daytime maximum between 27°C and 31°C under easterly winds of 3–5 Beaufort, partial sunshine, and isolated showers, establishing the narrow 30–31°C band as the market focus. Northeast monsoon influence is beginning to moderate regional temperatures after recent hotter conditions, while model consensus on cloud cover and boundary-layer moisture creates uncertainty between those two thresholds. Historical September baselines near 30–31°C further align with current guidance, though any increase in convective activity or thicker cloud could suppress the peak by 1°C. Updated official briefings and real-time observations tomorrow will determine resolution within the tight implied-probability spread.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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