Recent Hong Kong Observatory forecasts highlight the northeast monsoon strengthening over southern China, moderating daytime heating and confining maximum temperatures to a 26–31°C range for September 10. This aligns with trader consensus clustering on 30–31°C outcomes, reflecting model consensus from GFS and ECMWF runs showing partial sunshine interrupted by isolated showers that limit peak insolation. Above-normal sea surface temperatures and residual anticyclonic influence sustain warmth near seasonal norms, while variable wind speeds and cloud cover introduce uncertainty in whether the daily high reaches the upper end of the forecast. Updated model guidance and morning observations will refine resolution thresholds.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Hong Kong on September 10?
30°C 37%
31°C 36%
29°C 13%
32°C 8%
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
5%
29°C
13%
30°C
37%
31°C
36%
32°C
8%
33°C
3%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
30°C 37%
31°C 36%
29°C 13%
32°C 8%
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
5%
29°C
13%
30°C
37%
31°C
36%
32°C
8%
33°C
3%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 8, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Hong Kong Observatory forecasts highlight the northeast monsoon strengthening over southern China, moderating daytime heating and confining maximum temperatures to a 26–31°C range for September 10. This aligns with trader consensus clustering on 30–31°C outcomes, reflecting model consensus from GFS and ECMWF runs showing partial sunshine interrupted by isolated showers that limit peak insolation. Above-normal sea surface temperatures and residual anticyclonic influence sustain warmth near seasonal norms, while variable wind speeds and cloud cover introduce uncertainty in whether the daily high reaches the upper end of the forecast. Updated model guidance and morning observations will refine resolution thresholds.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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