**Trader consensus has converged on 27°C as the day's maximum temperature in Chengdu, reflecting the city's climatological normal for early September.** Historical records from the China Meteorological Administration show an average daily high of 27°C around September 9, driven by typical late-summer monsoon patterns and regional heat retention in the Sichuan Basin. While incoming cold-air advection and widespread precipitation (mid-to-heavy rain with northerly winds of 4–6 Beaufort) have introduced cooling and suppressed afternoon heating, market-implied odds indicate the peak still aligned with this baseline before significant temperature drops materialized later in the period. This positioning rests on verified observational norms rather than short-term model runs, which diverge on exact timing of the frontal passage. A realistic challenge would require an official station reading (e.g., from Chengdu Shuangliu or central urban sites) deviating measurably from 27°C due to localized microclimate effects, revised quality-controlled data, or an unusually prolonged warm spell overriding the expected 5–7°C basin-wide drop. Updated hourly observations or final daily summaries from authoritative agencies remain the key near-term catalyst for any shift.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Chengdu on September 9?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on September 9?
27°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$120,658 Vol.
$120,658 Vol.
Sep 9, 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
100%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
27°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$120,658 Vol.
$120,658 Vol.
Sep 9, 2026
21°C or below
$9,889 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$8,488 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$5,209 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$10,598 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$18,207 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$27,586 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$22,552 Vol.
100%
28°C
$8,995 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$5,990 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$2,112 Vol.
<1%
31°C or higher
$1,032 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus has converged on 27°C as the day's maximum temperature in Chengdu, reflecting the city's climatological normal for early September.** Historical records from the China Meteorological Administration show an average daily high of 27°C around September 9, driven by typical late-summer monsoon patterns and regional heat retention in the Sichuan Basin. While incoming cold-air advection and widespread precipitation (mid-to-heavy rain with northerly winds of 4–6 Beaufort) have introduced cooling and suppressed afternoon heating, market-implied odds indicate the peak still aligned with this baseline before significant temperature drops materialized later in the period.
This positioning rests on verified observational norms rather than short-term model runs, which diverge on exact timing of the frontal passage. A realistic challenge would require an official station reading (e.g., from Chengdu Shuangliu or central urban sites) deviating measurably from 27°C due to localized microclimate effects, revised quality-controlled data, or an unusually prolonged warm spell overriding the expected 5–7°C basin-wide drop. Updated hourly observations or final daily summaries from authoritative agencies remain the key near-term catalyst for any shift.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 7, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$120,658Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 9, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 7, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus has converged on 27°C as the day's maximum temperature in Chengdu, reflecting the city's climatological normal for early September.** Historical records from the China Meteorological Administration show an average daily high of 27°C around September 9, driven by typical late-summer monsoon patterns and regional heat retention in the Sichuan Basin. While incoming cold-air advection and widespread precipitation (mid-to-heavy rain with northerly winds of 4–6 Beaufort) have introduced cooling and suppressed afternoon heating, market-implied odds indicate the peak still aligned with this baseline before significant temperature drops materialized later in the period.
This positioning rests on verified observational norms rather than short-term model runs, which diverge on exact timing of the frontal passage. A realistic challenge would require an official station reading (e.g., from Chengdu Shuangliu or central urban sites) deviating measurably from 27°C due to localized microclimate effects, revised quality-controlled data, or an unusually prolonged warm spell overriding the expected 5–7°C basin-wide drop. Updated hourly observations or final daily summaries from authoritative agencies remain the key near-term catalyst for any shift.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$120,658Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 9, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 7, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus has converged on 27°C as the day's maximum temperature in Chengdu, reflecting the city's climatological normal for early September.** Historical records from the China Meteorological Administration show an average daily high of 27°C around September 9, driven by typical late-summer monsoon patterns and regional heat retention in the Sichuan Basin. While incoming cold-air advection and widespread precipitation (mid-to-heavy rain with northerly winds of 4–6 Beaufort) have introduced cooling and suppressed afternoon heating, market-implied odds indicate the peak still aligned with this baseline before significant temperature drops materialized later in the period. This positioning rests on verified observational norms rather than short-term model runs, which diverge on exact timing of the frontal passage. A realistic challenge would require an official station reading (e.g., from Chengdu Shuangliu or central urban sites) deviating measurably from 27°C due to localized microclimate effects, revised quality-controlled data, or an unusually prolonged warm spell overriding the expected 5–7°C basin-wide drop. Updated hourly observations or final daily summaries from authoritative agencies remain the key near-term catalyst for any shift.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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