**Forecast models and real-time observations point to a peak temperature of 27°C in Qingdao today, September 10, 2026, as the dominant outcome.** Coastal moderation from the Yellow Sea, combined with northerly winds at 3–4 levels and partly cloudy skies, limits daytime heating while preventing rapid cooling. Official and ensemble forecasts from multiple sources consistently project a daily maximum between 25–28°C, with hourly data showing temperatures rising from morning lows near 18–20°C to afternoon peaks around 27°C under moderate solar input. Historical September averages for the city hover near 25–26°C, providing context for why traders assign the highest implied probability to 27°C. Minor model spreads allow a smaller chance of 28°C if insolation or wind patterns shift slightly, but current conditions and consensus guidance favor the 27°C threshold as the most probable resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Qingdao on September 10?
27°C 98%
28°C 2%
29°C <1%
23°C or below <1%
$24,971 Vol.
$24,971 Vol.
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
98%
28°C
2%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
27°C 98%
28°C 2%
29°C <1%
23°C or below <1%
$24,971 Vol.
$24,971 Vol.
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
98%
28°C
2%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 8, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models and real-time observations point to a peak temperature of 27°C in Qingdao today, September 10, 2026, as the dominant outcome.** Coastal moderation from the Yellow Sea, combined with northerly winds at 3–4 levels and partly cloudy skies, limits daytime heating while preventing rapid cooling. Official and ensemble forecasts from multiple sources consistently project a daily maximum between 25–28°C, with hourly data showing temperatures rising from morning lows near 18–20°C to afternoon peaks around 27°C under moderate solar input. Historical September averages for the city hover near 25–26°C, providing context for why traders assign the highest implied probability to 27°C. Minor model spreads allow a smaller chance of 28°C if insolation or wind patterns shift slightly, but current conditions and consensus guidance favor the 27°C threshold as the most probable resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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