Recent official forecasts and Pakistan Meteorological Department seasonal guidance indicate trader focus on 33–35°C for Karachi’s September 12 maximum, driven by above-average temperatures expected across southern Sindh amid below-normal rainfall. Post-monsoon conditions feature strengthening southwesterly flow from the Arabian Sea, moderate humidity (55–65% daytime), and limited cloud cover that favors daytime radiative heating, with models projecting afternoon peaks near 32–35°C depending on exact wind speed and boundary-layer mixing. Historical September averages hover around 34°C, but 2026’s ensemble outlook favors modest positive anomalies. Key uncertainties include short-term model spread on cloud timing and any late moisture intrusion that could cap the high, keeping the 34°C and 35°C outcomes closely matched in current market pricing.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Karachi on September 12?
Highest temperature in Karachi on September 12?
35°C 28%
34°C 28%
33°C 20%
36°C or higher 13%
BARU
BARU
Sep 12, 2026
26°C or below
1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
2%
31°C
4%
32°C
6%
33°C
20%
34°C
28%
35°C
28%
36°C or higher
13%
35°C 28%
34°C 28%
33°C 20%
36°C or higher 13%
BARU
BARU
Sep 12, 2026
26°C or below
$0 Vol.
1%
27°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$0 Vol.
1%
29°C
$0 Vol.
1%
30°C
$0 Vol.
2%
31°C
$0 Vol.
4%
32°C
$15 Vol.
6%
33°C
$0 Vol.
20%
34°C
$0 Vol.
28%
35°C
$84 Vol.
28%
36°C or higher
$113 Vol.
13%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts and Pakistan Meteorological Department seasonal guidance indicate trader focus on 33–35°C for Karachi’s September 12 maximum, driven by above-average temperatures expected across southern Sindh amid below-normal rainfall. Post-monsoon conditions feature strengthening southwesterly flow from the Arabian Sea, moderate humidity (55–65% daytime), and limited cloud cover that favors daytime radiative heating, with models projecting afternoon peaks near 32–35°C depending on exact wind speed and boundary-layer mixing. Historical September averages hover around 34°C, but 2026’s ensemble outlook favors modest positive anomalies. Key uncertainties include short-term model spread on cloud timing and any late moisture intrusion that could cap the high, keeping the 34°C and 35°C outcomes closely matched in current market pricing.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 10, 2026, 12:59 AM ET
Volume
$212Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 12, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 10, 2026, 12:59 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkcResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts and Pakistan Meteorological Department seasonal guidance indicate trader focus on 33–35°C for Karachi’s September 12 maximum, driven by above-average temperatures expected across southern Sindh amid below-normal rainfall. Post-monsoon conditions feature strengthening southwesterly flow from the Arabian Sea, moderate humidity (55–65% daytime), and limited cloud cover that favors daytime radiative heating, with models projecting afternoon peaks near 32–35°C depending on exact wind speed and boundary-layer mixing. Historical September averages hover around 34°C, but 2026’s ensemble outlook favors modest positive anomalies. Key uncertainties include short-term model spread on cloud timing and any late moisture intrusion that could cap the high, keeping the 34°C and 35°C outcomes closely matched in current market pricing.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$212Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 12, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 10, 2026, 12:59 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts and Pakistan Meteorological Department seasonal guidance indicate trader focus on 33–35°C for Karachi’s September 12 maximum, driven by above-average temperatures expected across southern Sindh amid below-normal rainfall. Post-monsoon conditions feature strengthening southwesterly flow from the Arabian Sea, moderate humidity (55–65% daytime), and limited cloud cover that favors daytime radiative heating, with models projecting afternoon peaks near 32–35°C depending on exact wind speed and boundary-layer mixing. Historical September averages hover around 34°C, but 2026’s ensemble outlook favors modest positive anomalies. Key uncertainties include short-term model spread on cloud timing and any late moisture intrusion that could cap the high, keeping the 34°C and 35°C outcomes closely matched in current market pricing.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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