Forecast models from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles indicate a peak temperature in Shenzhen on September 10 most likely between 31°C and 32°C, driven by typical early-September subtropical conditions with high humidity near 70-80% and variable cloud cover. Thunderstorm chances of 30-55% during peak heating hours could suppress maximum readings through reduced insolation, while clearer intervals might allow brief climbs toward 33°C. Recent observations show daily highs fluctuating around 31-33°C amid light winds and dew points in the mid-20s, consistent with climatological baselines for the region. Trader sentiment reflects this narrow spread, with limited upside from model consensus but downside risk if convective activity develops earlier than expected; updated runs from official agencies will refine the exact threshold.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Shenzhen on September 10?
31°C 36%
32°C 34%
30°C 13%
33°C 11%
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
2%
29°C
5%
30°C
13%
31°C
36%
32°C
34%
33°C
11%
34°C
4%
35°C
3%
36°C or higher
3%
31°C 36%
32°C 34%
30°C 13%
33°C 11%
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
2%
29°C
5%
30°C
13%
31°C
36%
32°C
34%
33°C
11%
34°C
4%
35°C
3%
36°C or higher
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 8, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles indicate a peak temperature in Shenzhen on September 10 most likely between 31°C and 32°C, driven by typical early-September subtropical conditions with high humidity near 70-80% and variable cloud cover. Thunderstorm chances of 30-55% during peak heating hours could suppress maximum readings through reduced insolation, while clearer intervals might allow brief climbs toward 33°C. Recent observations show daily highs fluctuating around 31-33°C amid light winds and dew points in the mid-20s, consistent with climatological baselines for the region. Trader sentiment reflects this narrow spread, with limited upside from model consensus but downside risk if convective activity develops earlier than expected; updated runs from official agencies will refine the exact threshold.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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