**Trader consensus heavily favors a 27°C daily minimum in Hong Kong on September 9, reflecting official Hong Kong Observatory observations and forecasts showing overnight lows stabilizing near this level amid northeast monsoon influence.** Current readings across stations indicate temperatures holding in the upper 20s°C overnight, consistent with a forecast range of 26–31°C and limited nocturnal cooling under partly cloudy skies with light easterly winds. Historical September baselines place typical minima around 24–25°C, but recent regional pressure patterns and higher dew points have supported milder conditions. The market-implied odds align with model consensus from monitoring agencies, where further drops below 27°C would require atypical radiative cooling or unforecasted frontal activity unlikely in the current setup. Resolution hinges on the official HKO minimum reading for the calendar day.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Hong Kong on September 9?
Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on September 9?
27°C 82%
25°C 6%
26°C 4%
24°C <1%
BARU
$15,793 Vol.
BARU
$15,793 Vol.
Sep 9, 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
6%
26°C
16%
27°C
82%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
27°C 82%
25°C 6%
26°C 4%
24°C <1%
BARU
$15,793 Vol.
BARU
$15,793 Vol.
Sep 9, 2026
21°C or below
$95 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$838 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$632 Vol.
1%
24°C
$306 Vol.
1%
25°C
$1,054 Vol.
6%
26°C
$2,663 Vol.
16%
27°C
$5,492 Vol.
82%
28°C
$1,934 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$2,278 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$260 Vol.
<1%
31°C or higher
$241 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Trader consensus heavily favors a 27°C daily minimum in Hong Kong on September 9, reflecting official Hong Kong Observatory observations and forecasts showing overnight lows stabilizing near this level amid northeast monsoon influence.** Current readings across stations indicate temperatures holding in the upper 20s°C overnight, consistent with a forecast range of 26–31°C and limited nocturnal cooling under partly cloudy skies with light easterly winds. Historical September baselines place typical minima around 24–25°C, but recent regional pressure patterns and higher dew points have supported milder conditions. The market-implied odds align with model consensus from monitoring agencies, where further drops below 27°C would require atypical radiative cooling or unforecasted frontal activity unlikely in the current setup. Resolution hinges on the official HKO minimum reading for the calendar day.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 7, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$15,793Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 9, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 7, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Trader consensus heavily favors a 27°C daily minimum in Hong Kong on September 9, reflecting official Hong Kong Observatory observations and forecasts showing overnight lows stabilizing near this level amid northeast monsoon influence.** Current readings across stations indicate temperatures holding in the upper 20s°C overnight, consistent with a forecast range of 26–31°C and limited nocturnal cooling under partly cloudy skies with light easterly winds. Historical September baselines place typical minima around 24–25°C, but recent regional pressure patterns and higher dew points have supported milder conditions. The market-implied odds align with model consensus from monitoring agencies, where further drops below 27°C would require atypical radiative cooling or unforecasted frontal activity unlikely in the current setup. Resolution hinges on the official HKO minimum reading for the calendar day.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$15,793Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 9, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 7, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus heavily favors a 27°C daily minimum in Hong Kong on September 9, reflecting official Hong Kong Observatory observations and forecasts showing overnight lows stabilizing near this level amid northeast monsoon influence.** Current readings across stations indicate temperatures holding in the upper 20s°C overnight, consistent with a forecast range of 26–31°C and limited nocturnal cooling under partly cloudy skies with light easterly winds. Historical September baselines place typical minima around 24–25°C, but recent regional pressure patterns and higher dew points have supported milder conditions. The market-implied odds align with model consensus from monitoring agencies, where further drops below 27°C would require atypical radiative cooling or unforecasted frontal activity unlikely in the current setup. Resolution hinges on the official HKO minimum reading for the calendar day.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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