Recent National Weather Service and model guidance points to a Friday high near 68–69 °F in San Francisco, driven by a strengthening marine layer and persistent southwest onshore flow that advects cooler Pacific air across the region. This pattern, reinforced by a broad Pacific high, limits daytime heating compared with the recent hot spell that produced 85–94 °F readings earlier in the week. Ensemble forecasts show modest spread around the mid-to-upper 60s, with small differences in cloud cover and wind strength able to shift the daily maximum by a degree or two. Historical September averages near 70–71 °F provide context, yet the current setup favors the lower end of the distribution and explains why market-implied odds cluster tightly between the upper 60s and low 70s.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in San Francisco on September 11?
Highest temperature in San Francisco on September 11?
70-71°F 31%
72-73°F 30%
74-75°F 16%
68-69°F 13%
BARU
BARU
Sep 11, 2026
63°F or below
1%
64-65°F
2%
66-67°F
4%
68-69°F
13%
70-71°F
31%
72-73°F
30%
74-75°F
16%
76-77°F
5%
78-79°F
2%
80-81°F
2%
82°F or higher
<1%
70-71°F 31%
72-73°F 30%
74-75°F 16%
68-69°F 13%
BARU
BARU
Sep 11, 2026
63°F or below
$40 Vol.
1%
64-65°F
$8 Vol.
2%
66-67°F
$29 Vol.
4%
68-69°F
$106 Vol.
13%
70-71°F
$351 Vol.
31%
72-73°F
$733 Vol.
30%
74-75°F
$225 Vol.
16%
76-77°F
$20 Vol.
5%
78-79°F
$0 Vol.
2%
80-81°F
$0 Vol.
2%
82°F or higher
$175 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance points to a Friday high near 68–69 °F in San Francisco, driven by a strengthening marine layer and persistent southwest onshore flow that advects cooler Pacific air across the region. This pattern, reinforced by a broad Pacific high, limits daytime heating compared with the recent hot spell that produced 85–94 °F readings earlier in the week. Ensemble forecasts show modest spread around the mid-to-upper 60s, with small differences in cloud cover and wind strength able to shift the daily maximum by a degree or two. Historical September averages near 70–71 °F provide context, yet the current setup favors the lower end of the distribution and explains why market-implied odds cluster tightly between the upper 60s and low 70s.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 9, 2026, 7:56 AM ET
Volume
$1,687Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 11, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 9, 2026, 7:56 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance points to a Friday high near 68–69 °F in San Francisco, driven by a strengthening marine layer and persistent southwest onshore flow that advects cooler Pacific air across the region. This pattern, reinforced by a broad Pacific high, limits daytime heating compared with the recent hot spell that produced 85–94 °F readings earlier in the week. Ensemble forecasts show modest spread around the mid-to-upper 60s, with small differences in cloud cover and wind strength able to shift the daily maximum by a degree or two. Historical September averages near 70–71 °F provide context, yet the current setup favors the lower end of the distribution and explains why market-implied odds cluster tightly between the upper 60s and low 70s.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,687Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 11, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 9, 2026, 7:56 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and model guidance points to a Friday high near 68–69 °F in San Francisco, driven by a strengthening marine layer and persistent southwest onshore flow that advects cooler Pacific air across the region. This pattern, reinforced by a broad Pacific high, limits daytime heating compared with the recent hot spell that produced 85–94 °F readings earlier in the week. Ensemble forecasts show modest spread around the mid-to-upper 60s, with small differences in cloud cover and wind strength able to shift the daily maximum by a degree or two. Historical September averages near 70–71 °F provide context, yet the current setup favors the lower end of the distribution and explains why market-implied odds cluster tightly between the upper 60s and low 70s.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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