Northeast monsoon influence, as detailed in the latest Hong Kong Observatory forecasts, is driving trader focus on 31–32°C maxima for September 11 by promoting mainly fine, dry daytime conditions with north to northeast winds of force 4–5. This setup favors strong solar heating under limited cloud cover, consistent with model consensus showing highs near 31°C and low precipitation chances, though minor variations in wind strength or residual moisture could trim peaks toward 30°C. Official resolution hinges on the observatory’s recorded maximum, with historical September baselines around 30–32°C providing context for the tight 35.5%–28% split between the leading outcomes. Updated model runs and morning observations over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Hong Kong on September 11?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on September 11?
32°C 36%
31°C 23%
33°C 19%
30°C 18%
BARU
BARU
Sep 11, 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
4%
29°C
3%
30°C
18%
31°C
23%
32°C
36%
33°C
19%
34°C
3%
35°C
4%
36°C or higher
<1%
32°C 36%
31°C 23%
33°C 19%
30°C 18%
BARU
BARU
Sep 11, 2026
26°C or below
$167 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$13 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$368 Vol.
4%
29°C
$385 Vol.
3%
30°C
$93 Vol.
18%
31°C
$5 Vol.
23%
32°C
$370 Vol.
36%
33°C
$59 Vol.
19%
34°C
$25 Vol.
3%
35°C
$31 Vol.
4%
36°C or higher
$117 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Northeast monsoon influence, as detailed in the latest Hong Kong Observatory forecasts, is driving trader focus on 31–32°C maxima for September 11 by promoting mainly fine, dry daytime conditions with north to northeast winds of force 4–5. This setup favors strong solar heating under limited cloud cover, consistent with model consensus showing highs near 31°C and low precipitation chances, though minor variations in wind strength or residual moisture could trim peaks toward 30°C. Official resolution hinges on the observatory’s recorded maximum, with historical September baselines around 30–32°C providing context for the tight 35.5%–28% split between the leading outcomes. Updated model runs and morning observations over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 9, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$1,634Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 11, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 9, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Northeast monsoon influence, as detailed in the latest Hong Kong Observatory forecasts, is driving trader focus on 31–32°C maxima for September 11 by promoting mainly fine, dry daytime conditions with north to northeast winds of force 4–5. This setup favors strong solar heating under limited cloud cover, consistent with model consensus showing highs near 31°C and low precipitation chances, though minor variations in wind strength or residual moisture could trim peaks toward 30°C. Official resolution hinges on the observatory’s recorded maximum, with historical September baselines around 30–32°C providing context for the tight 35.5%–28% split between the leading outcomes. Updated model runs and morning observations over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$1,634Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 11, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 9, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Northeast monsoon influence, as detailed in the latest Hong Kong Observatory forecasts, is driving trader focus on 31–32°C maxima for September 11 by promoting mainly fine, dry daytime conditions with north to northeast winds of force 4–5. This setup favors strong solar heating under limited cloud cover, consistent with model consensus showing highs near 31°C and low precipitation chances, though minor variations in wind strength or residual moisture could trim peaks toward 30°C. Official resolution hinges on the observatory’s recorded maximum, with historical September baselines around 30–32°C providing context for the tight 35.5%–28% split between the leading outcomes. Updated model runs and morning observations over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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