Forecast models from GFS and ECMWF indicate southerly flow advecting warmer air into central Poland ahead of a weakening front, supporting afternoon highs near 27–29 °C in Warsaw on September 9, with peak readings most likely between 28–29 °C under partly cloudy skies. Limited moisture and modest instability keep shower chances low until evening, while surface pressure falls from 1015 hPa to near 1007 hPa and winds shift northwest, capping further warming. Ensemble spread remains modest but reflects typical late-summer variability in maximum temperature, with historical September extremes in Warsaw rarely exceeding 30 °C. Traders appear to price a modest upside bias from recent model runs, yet resolution hinges on the precise timing of any cloud build-up or precipitation that could suppress the daily maximum by 1–2 °C.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Warsaw on September 9?
Highest temperature in Warsaw on September 9?
29°C 38%
30°C 30%
28°C 20%
31°C 11%
BARU
BARU
Sep 9, 2026
25°C or below
2%
26°C
2%
27°C
5%
28°C
20%
29°C
38%
30°C
30%
31°C
11%
32°C
1%
33°C
1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
29°C 38%
30°C 30%
28°C 20%
31°C 11%
BARU
BARU
Sep 9, 2026
25°C or below
$243 Vol.
2%
26°C
$101 Vol.
2%
27°C
$114 Vol.
5%
28°C
$2,196 Vol.
20%
29°C
$1,423 Vol.
38%
30°C
$1,229 Vol.
30%
31°C
$1,019 Vol.
11%
32°C
$85 Vol.
1%
33°C
$200 Vol.
1%
34°C
$732 Vol.
<1%
35°C or higher
$617 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from GFS and ECMWF indicate southerly flow advecting warmer air into central Poland ahead of a weakening front, supporting afternoon highs near 27–29 °C in Warsaw on September 9, with peak readings most likely between 28–29 °C under partly cloudy skies. Limited moisture and modest instability keep shower chances low until evening, while surface pressure falls from 1015 hPa to near 1007 hPa and winds shift northwest, capping further warming. Ensemble spread remains modest but reflects typical late-summer variability in maximum temperature, with historical September extremes in Warsaw rarely exceeding 30 °C. Traders appear to price a modest upside bias from recent model runs, yet resolution hinges on the precise timing of any cloud build-up or precipitation that could suppress the daily maximum by 1–2 °C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 7, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$7,724Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 9, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 7, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from GFS and ECMWF indicate southerly flow advecting warmer air into central Poland ahead of a weakening front, supporting afternoon highs near 27–29 °C in Warsaw on September 9, with peak readings most likely between 28–29 °C under partly cloudy skies. Limited moisture and modest instability keep shower chances low until evening, while surface pressure falls from 1015 hPa to near 1007 hPa and winds shift northwest, capping further warming. Ensemble spread remains modest but reflects typical late-summer variability in maximum temperature, with historical September extremes in Warsaw rarely exceeding 30 °C. Traders appear to price a modest upside bias from recent model runs, yet resolution hinges on the precise timing of any cloud build-up or precipitation that could suppress the daily maximum by 1–2 °C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$7,724Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 9, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 7, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from GFS and ECMWF indicate southerly flow advecting warmer air into central Poland ahead of a weakening front, supporting afternoon highs near 27–29 °C in Warsaw on September 9, with peak readings most likely between 28–29 °C under partly cloudy skies. Limited moisture and modest instability keep shower chances low until evening, while surface pressure falls from 1015 hPa to near 1007 hPa and winds shift northwest, capping further warming. Ensemble spread remains modest but reflects typical late-summer variability in maximum temperature, with historical September extremes in Warsaw rarely exceeding 30 °C. Traders appear to price a modest upside bias from recent model runs, yet resolution hinges on the precise timing of any cloud build-up or precipitation that could suppress the daily maximum by 1–2 °C.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan