Trader sentiment for the September 10 low temperature in New York City centers on ensemble forecast consensus from NOAA and the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts, which cluster daily minimums near 72–75°F amid a transitional early-fall pattern. A broad high-pressure ridge currently supports clear skies and moderate radiative cooling, yet model spreads arise from subtle differences in boundary-layer moisture, overnight wind speeds, and the timing of any weak frontal passage. The 23% implied probability on 86°F or higher reflects potential for suppressed cooling under increased cloud cover or southerly flow, while the 22.5% on 67°F or below captures downside risks from stronger northerly advection. Updated model runs and National Weather Service local forecasts over the next 48 hours will narrow these ranges as resolution criteria approach.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in NYC on September 10?
Lowest temperature in NYC on September 10?
74-75°F 47%
86°F or higher 46%
67°F or below 45%
76-77°F 39%
BARU
BARU
Sep 10, 2026
67°F or below
45%
68-69°F
7%
70-71°F
16%
72-73°F
25%
74-75°F
31%
76-77°F
39%
78-79°F
8%
80-81°F
3%
82-83°F
2%
84-85°F
2%
86°F or higher
46%
74-75°F 47%
86°F or higher 46%
67°F or below 45%
76-77°F 39%
BARU
BARU
Sep 10, 2026
67°F or below
$0 Vol.
45%
68-69°F
$0 Vol.
7%
70-71°F
$0 Vol.
16%
72-73°F
$0 Vol.
25%
74-75°F
$0 Vol.
31%
76-77°F
$0 Vol.
39%
78-79°F
$0 Vol.
8%
80-81°F
$0 Vol.
3%
82-83°F
$0 Vol.
2%
84-85°F
$0 Vol.
2%
86°F or higher
$0 Vol.
46%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader sentiment for the September 10 low temperature in New York City centers on ensemble forecast consensus from NOAA and the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts, which cluster daily minimums near 72–75°F amid a transitional early-fall pattern. A broad high-pressure ridge currently supports clear skies and moderate radiative cooling, yet model spreads arise from subtle differences in boundary-layer moisture, overnight wind speeds, and the timing of any weak frontal passage. The 23% implied probability on 86°F or higher reflects potential for suppressed cooling under increased cloud cover or southerly flow, while the 22.5% on 67°F or below captures downside risks from stronger northerly advection. Updated model runs and National Weather Service local forecasts over the next 48 hours will narrow these ranges as resolution criteria approach.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 8, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
Volume
$0Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 10, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 8, 2026, 3:29 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader sentiment for the September 10 low temperature in New York City centers on ensemble forecast consensus from NOAA and the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts, which cluster daily minimums near 72–75°F amid a transitional early-fall pattern. A broad high-pressure ridge currently supports clear skies and moderate radiative cooling, yet model spreads arise from subtle differences in boundary-layer moisture, overnight wind speeds, and the timing of any weak frontal passage. The 23% implied probability on 86°F or higher reflects potential for suppressed cooling under increased cloud cover or southerly flow, while the 22.5% on 67°F or below captures downside risks from stronger northerly advection. Updated model runs and National Weather Service local forecasts over the next 48 hours will narrow these ranges as resolution criteria approach.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$0Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 10, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 8, 2026, 3:29 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment for the September 10 low temperature in New York City centers on ensemble forecast consensus from NOAA and the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts, which cluster daily minimums near 72–75°F amid a transitional early-fall pattern. A broad high-pressure ridge currently supports clear skies and moderate radiative cooling, yet model spreads arise from subtle differences in boundary-layer moisture, overnight wind speeds, and the timing of any weak frontal passage. The 23% implied probability on 86°F or higher reflects potential for suppressed cooling under increased cloud cover or southerly flow, while the 22.5% on 67°F or below captures downside risks from stronger northerly advection. Updated model runs and National Weather Service local forecasts over the next 48 hours will narrow these ranges as resolution criteria approach.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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