Recent forecast consensus from European models indicates a peak near 30–31°C in Munich on September 8, driven by southerly warm-air advection under mostly clear skies and light winds. This setup has produced daytime maxima climbing steadily from 25–27°C on September 7, well above the 1991–2020 average high of 20.9°C for the date while remaining below the 29.6°C record. Trader emphasis on 31°C reflects limited model spread and the absence of significant cooling fronts in the short term; subsequent DWD and ECMWF runs through September 7 will determine whether any late adjustment shifts the implied probabilities.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Munich on September 8?
Highest temperature in Munich on September 8?
31°C 51%
30°C 24%
32°C 24%
29°C 17%
BARU
BARU
Sep 8, 2026
27°C or below
4%
28°C
4%
29°C
17%
30°C
24%
31°C
51%
32°C
24%
33°C
7%
34°C
4%
35°C
1%
36°C
1%
37°C or higher
1%
31°C 51%
30°C 24%
32°C 24%
29°C 17%
BARU
BARU
Sep 8, 2026
27°C or below
$0 Vol.
4%
28°C
$0 Vol.
4%
29°C
$0 Vol.
17%
30°C
$0 Vol.
24%
31°C
$92 Vol.
51%
32°C
$0 Vol.
24%
33°C
$11 Vol.
7%
34°C
$0 Vol.
4%
35°C
$0 Vol.
1%
36°C
$0 Vol.
1%
37°C or higher
$0 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast consensus from European models indicates a peak near 30–31°C in Munich on September 8, driven by southerly warm-air advection under mostly clear skies and light winds. This setup has produced daytime maxima climbing steadily from 25–27°C on September 7, well above the 1991–2020 average high of 20.9°C for the date while remaining below the 29.6°C record. Trader emphasis on 31°C reflects limited model spread and the absence of significant cooling fronts in the short term; subsequent DWD and ECMWF runs through September 7 will determine whether any late adjustment shifts the implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 6, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$103Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 8, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 6, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast consensus from European models indicates a peak near 30–31°C in Munich on September 8, driven by southerly warm-air advection under mostly clear skies and light winds. This setup has produced daytime maxima climbing steadily from 25–27°C on September 7, well above the 1991–2020 average high of 20.9°C for the date while remaining below the 29.6°C record. Trader emphasis on 31°C reflects limited model spread and the absence of significant cooling fronts in the short term; subsequent DWD and ECMWF runs through September 7 will determine whether any late adjustment shifts the implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$103Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 8, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 6, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast consensus from European models indicates a peak near 30–31°C in Munich on September 8, driven by southerly warm-air advection under mostly clear skies and light winds. This setup has produced daytime maxima climbing steadily from 25–27°C on September 7, well above the 1991–2020 average high of 20.9°C for the date while remaining below the 29.6°C record. Trader emphasis on 31°C reflects limited model spread and the absence of significant cooling fronts in the short term; subsequent DWD and ECMWF runs through September 7 will determine whether any late adjustment shifts the implied probabilities.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan