Recent ensemble forecasts from the DWD, ECMWF, and ICON models show Munich under a warm southerly flow with mostly clear skies and light winds overnight into September 8, supporting minimum temperatures of 16–18 °C. This places the expected low well above the 1991–2020 climatological average of 11.1 °C and explains why market-implied odds favor outcomes clustered in the mid-teens while still assigning meaningful probability to cooler bins amid typical model spread near 1–2 °C. No strong cold advection or significant cloud cover is indicated in the latest runs, though final overnight model updates and observational data from the early morning hours could still shift the precise minimum before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Munich on September 8?
Lowest temperature in Munich on September 8?
17°C 48%
12°C or below 46%
18°C 34%
14°C 29%
BARU
BARU
Sep 8, 2026
12°C or below
46%
13°C
28%
14°C
29%
15°C
24%
16°C
24%
17°C
48%
18°C
34%
19°C
25%
20°C
7%
21°C
2%
22°C or higher
7%
17°C 48%
12°C or below 46%
18°C 34%
14°C 29%
BARU
BARU
Sep 8, 2026
12°C or below
$2 Vol.
46%
13°C
$0 Vol.
28%
14°C
$0 Vol.
29%
15°C
$158 Vol.
24%
16°C
$157 Vol.
24%
17°C
$0 Vol.
48%
18°C
$0 Vol.
34%
19°C
$0 Vol.
25%
20°C
$0 Vol.
7%
21°C
$0 Vol.
2%
22°C or higher
$0 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from the DWD, ECMWF, and ICON models show Munich under a warm southerly flow with mostly clear skies and light winds overnight into September 8, supporting minimum temperatures of 16–18 °C. This places the expected low well above the 1991–2020 climatological average of 11.1 °C and explains why market-implied odds favor outcomes clustered in the mid-teens while still assigning meaningful probability to cooler bins amid typical model spread near 1–2 °C. No strong cold advection or significant cloud cover is indicated in the latest runs, though final overnight model updates and observational data from the early morning hours could still shift the precise minimum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 6, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$317Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 8, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 6, 2026, 12:29 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from the DWD, ECMWF, and ICON models show Munich under a warm southerly flow with mostly clear skies and light winds overnight into September 8, supporting minimum temperatures of 16–18 °C. This places the expected low well above the 1991–2020 climatological average of 11.1 °C and explains why market-implied odds favor outcomes clustered in the mid-teens while still assigning meaningful probability to cooler bins amid typical model spread near 1–2 °C. No strong cold advection or significant cloud cover is indicated in the latest runs, though final overnight model updates and observational data from the early morning hours could still shift the precise minimum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$317Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 8, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 6, 2026, 12:29 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from the DWD, ECMWF, and ICON models show Munich under a warm southerly flow with mostly clear skies and light winds overnight into September 8, supporting minimum temperatures of 16–18 °C. This places the expected low well above the 1991–2020 climatological average of 11.1 °C and explains why market-implied odds favor outcomes clustered in the mid-teens while still assigning meaningful probability to cooler bins amid typical model spread near 1–2 °C. No strong cold advection or significant cloud cover is indicated in the latest runs, though final overnight model updates and observational data from the early morning hours could still shift the precise minimum before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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