Recent model consensus from the Hong Kong Observatory and global ensembles indicates a maximum temperature of 31–32°C on September 7, as a warm, humid air mass lingers under light winds ahead of the strengthening northeast monsoon. High dew points near 26–27°C and scattered afternoon convection may cap peaks slightly below peak summer values, while the urban heat island effect supports readings near the upper end. September climatology averages 30.1°C, with current ENSO-driven warmth tilting odds toward the market's leading outcomes. Next forecast updates and official observations will refine resolution criteria.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Hong Kong on September 7?
32°C 37%
31°C 35%
30°C 16%
29°C 13%
25°C or below
2%
26°C
1%
27°C
2%
28°C
1%
29°C
13%
30°C
16%
31°C
35%
32°C
37%
33°C
8%
34°C
5%
35°C or higher
6%
32°C 37%
31°C 35%
30°C 16%
29°C 13%
25°C or below
2%
26°C
1%
27°C
2%
28°C
1%
29°C
13%
30°C
16%
31°C
35%
32°C
37%
33°C
8%
34°C
5%
35°C or higher
6%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 5, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from the Hong Kong Observatory and global ensembles indicates a maximum temperature of 31–32°C on September 7, as a warm, humid air mass lingers under light winds ahead of the strengthening northeast monsoon. High dew points near 26–27°C and scattered afternoon convection may cap peaks slightly below peak summer values, while the urban heat island effect supports readings near the upper end. September climatology averages 30.1°C, with current ENSO-driven warmth tilting odds toward the market's leading outcomes. Next forecast updates and official observations will refine resolution criteria.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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