**Recent active monsoon conditions and associated cloud cover with thundershowers are the dominant factors anchoring trader consensus around 31–32°C for Lucknow’s September 5 maximum temperature.** Official India Meteorological Department forecasts explicitly project a maximum near 32°C under generally cloudy skies with one or two spells of rain or thundershowers, while multiple models and agencies (including NDTV, Met Office, and WeatherBug) converge on 30–32°C highs amid high humidity (often 70–90%) and light easterly winds. These conditions limit surface heating through reduced insolation and evaporative cooling from precipitation, consistent with climatological patterns in Uttar Pradesh during an active late-monsoon phase where seasonal rainfall has recently normalized after earlier deficits. The market’s heavy weighting on 31°C (46.5%) and 32°C (34.0%) reflects this model consensus and the low likelihood of clearing skies that could push readings to 33°C or above, while the modest probability on 30°C accounts for possible earlier or heavier showers suppressing the peak further. Upcoming IMD updates and real-time observations will be the next key inputs for any shifts in implied odds.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Lucknow on September 5?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on September 5?
31°C 47%
32°C 34%
30°C 11%
33°C 6%
BARU
BARU
Sep 5, 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
2%
30°C
11%
31°C
47%
32°C
34%
33°C
6%
34°C or higher
<1%
31°C 47%
32°C 34%
30°C 11%
33°C 6%
BARU
BARU
Sep 5, 2026
24°C or below
$434 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$171 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$411 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$391 Vol.
1%
28°C
$307 Vol.
1%
29°C
$195 Vol.
2%
30°C
$680 Vol.
11%
31°C
$2,146 Vol.
47%
32°C
$1,970 Vol.
34%
33°C
$625 Vol.
6%
34°C or higher
$186 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent active monsoon conditions and associated cloud cover with thundershowers are the dominant factors anchoring trader consensus around 31–32°C for Lucknow’s September 5 maximum temperature.** Official India Meteorological Department forecasts explicitly project a maximum near 32°C under generally cloudy skies with one or two spells of rain or thundershowers, while multiple models and agencies (including NDTV, Met Office, and WeatherBug) converge on 30–32°C highs amid high humidity (often 70–90%) and light easterly winds.
These conditions limit surface heating through reduced insolation and evaporative cooling from precipitation, consistent with climatological patterns in Uttar Pradesh during an active late-monsoon phase where seasonal rainfall has recently normalized after earlier deficits. The market’s heavy weighting on 31°C (46.5%) and 32°C (34.0%) reflects this model consensus and the low likelihood of clearing skies that could push readings to 33°C or above, while the modest probability on 30°C accounts for possible earlier or heavier showers suppressing the peak further. Upcoming IMD updates and real-time observations will be the next key inputs for any shifts in implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 3, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$7,516Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 5, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 3, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent active monsoon conditions and associated cloud cover with thundershowers are the dominant factors anchoring trader consensus around 31–32°C for Lucknow’s September 5 maximum temperature.** Official India Meteorological Department forecasts explicitly project a maximum near 32°C under generally cloudy skies with one or two spells of rain or thundershowers, while multiple models and agencies (including NDTV, Met Office, and WeatherBug) converge on 30–32°C highs amid high humidity (often 70–90%) and light easterly winds.
These conditions limit surface heating through reduced insolation and evaporative cooling from precipitation, consistent with climatological patterns in Uttar Pradesh during an active late-monsoon phase where seasonal rainfall has recently normalized after earlier deficits. The market’s heavy weighting on 31°C (46.5%) and 32°C (34.0%) reflects this model consensus and the low likelihood of clearing skies that could push readings to 33°C or above, while the modest probability on 30°C accounts for possible earlier or heavier showers suppressing the peak further. Upcoming IMD updates and real-time observations will be the next key inputs for any shifts in implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$7,516Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 5, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 3, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Recent active monsoon conditions and associated cloud cover with thundershowers are the dominant factors anchoring trader consensus around 31–32°C for Lucknow’s September 5 maximum temperature.** Official India Meteorological Department forecasts explicitly project a maximum near 32°C under generally cloudy skies with one or two spells of rain or thundershowers, while multiple models and agencies (including NDTV, Met Office, and WeatherBug) converge on 30–32°C highs amid high humidity (often 70–90%) and light easterly winds. These conditions limit surface heating through reduced insolation and evaporative cooling from precipitation, consistent with climatological patterns in Uttar Pradesh during an active late-monsoon phase where seasonal rainfall has recently normalized after earlier deficits. The market’s heavy weighting on 31°C (46.5%) and 32°C (34.0%) reflects this model consensus and the low likelihood of clearing skies that could push readings to 33°C or above, while the modest probability on 30°C accounts for possible earlier or heavier showers suppressing the peak further. Upcoming IMD updates and real-time observations will be the next key inputs for any shifts in implied odds.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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