Persistent southwest monsoon activity, including widespread cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and moderate rainfall across Uttar Pradesh, is the dominant factor capping maximum temperatures in Lucknow near 30–31°C on September 6. Official guidance from sources such as the India Meteorological Department and global models (GFS, ECMWF) consistently shows daytime highs in this narrow band, with high humidity and easterly winds limiting solar heating. Recent observations confirm temperatures running slightly below seasonal normals amid active monsoon conditions, aligning with trader emphasis on the 31°C outcome (44% implied probability) over 30°C (28%). Minor model spread around steering patterns and localized convection keeps 32°C a secondary possibility at 15.5%, while lower outcomes remain discounted given the established moisture regime. Updated IMD and NHC-equivalent briefings tomorrow morning will provide the final observational benchmark for market resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Lucknow on September 6?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on September 6?
31°C 44%
30°C 28%
32°C 16%
29°C 8%
BARU
BARU
Sep 6, 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
2%
29°C
8%
30°C
28%
31°C
44%
32°C
16%
33°C
4%
34°C or higher
3%
31°C 44%
30°C 28%
32°C 16%
29°C 8%
BARU
BARU
Sep 6, 2026
24°C or below
$395 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$135 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$262 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$161 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$344 Vol.
2%
29°C
$478 Vol.
8%
30°C
$99 Vol.
28%
31°C
$282 Vol.
44%
32°C
$87 Vol.
16%
33°C
$8 Vol.
4%
34°C or higher
$91 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent southwest monsoon activity, including widespread cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and moderate rainfall across Uttar Pradesh, is the dominant factor capping maximum temperatures in Lucknow near 30–31°C on September 6. Official guidance from sources such as the India Meteorological Department and global models (GFS, ECMWF) consistently shows daytime highs in this narrow band, with high humidity and easterly winds limiting solar heating. Recent observations confirm temperatures running slightly below seasonal normals amid active monsoon conditions, aligning with trader emphasis on the 31°C outcome (44% implied probability) over 30°C (28%). Minor model spread around steering patterns and localized convection keeps 32°C a secondary possibility at 15.5%, while lower outcomes remain discounted given the established moisture regime. Updated IMD and NHC-equivalent briefings tomorrow morning will provide the final observational benchmark for market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 4, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$2,342Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 6, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 4, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent southwest monsoon activity, including widespread cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and moderate rainfall across Uttar Pradesh, is the dominant factor capping maximum temperatures in Lucknow near 30–31°C on September 6. Official guidance from sources such as the India Meteorological Department and global models (GFS, ECMWF) consistently shows daytime highs in this narrow band, with high humidity and easterly winds limiting solar heating. Recent observations confirm temperatures running slightly below seasonal normals amid active monsoon conditions, aligning with trader emphasis on the 31°C outcome (44% implied probability) over 30°C (28%). Minor model spread around steering patterns and localized convection keeps 32°C a secondary possibility at 15.5%, while lower outcomes remain discounted given the established moisture regime. Updated IMD and NHC-equivalent briefings tomorrow morning will provide the final observational benchmark for market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,342Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 6, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 4, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent southwest monsoon activity, including widespread cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and moderate rainfall across Uttar Pradesh, is the dominant factor capping maximum temperatures in Lucknow near 30–31°C on September 6. Official guidance from sources such as the India Meteorological Department and global models (GFS, ECMWF) consistently shows daytime highs in this narrow band, with high humidity and easterly winds limiting solar heating. Recent observations confirm temperatures running slightly below seasonal normals amid active monsoon conditions, aligning with trader emphasis on the 31°C outcome (44% implied probability) over 30°C (28%). Minor model spread around steering patterns and localized convection keeps 32°C a secondary possibility at 15.5%, while lower outcomes remain discounted given the established moisture regime. Updated IMD and NHC-equivalent briefings tomorrow morning will provide the final observational benchmark for market resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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