Recent forecast models from agencies including the National Weather Service equivalents and ECMWF runs indicate overnight lows in Buenos Aires on September 8 will likely fall in the 6–8°C range under clear skies and light northerly flow, allowing moderate radiative cooling after a period of cooler-than-average early-spring conditions. This aligns with the market’s emphasis on single-digit outcomes while the 49% implied probability on 3°C or below reflects residual model spread and potential for stronger cold-air advection. The 29.5% on 13°C or higher captures upside uncertainty if warmer northerly flow strengthens. September climatology shows average lows near 10°C, so the current pattern represents a modest negative anomaly that traders appear to be weighting heavily ahead of final pre-event updates.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Buenos Aires on September 8?
Lowest temperature in Buenos Aires on September 8?
3°C or below 97%
13°C or higher 59%
4°C 49%
5°C 49%
BARU
BARU
Sep 8, 2026
3°C or below
97%
4°C
49%
5°C
49%
6°C
49%
7°C
25%
8°C
25%
9°C
19%
10°C
19%
11°C
17%
12°C
17%
13°C or higher
59%
3°C or below 97%
13°C or higher 59%
4°C 49%
5°C 49%
BARU
BARU
Sep 8, 2026
3°C or below
$0 Vol.
97%
4°C
$0 Vol.
49%
5°C
$0 Vol.
49%
6°C
$0 Vol.
49%
7°C
$0 Vol.
25%
8°C
$0 Vol.
25%
9°C
$0 Vol.
19%
10°C
$0 Vol.
19%
11°C
$0 Vol.
17%
12°C
$0 Vol.
17%
13°C or higher
$0 Vol.
59%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from agencies including the National Weather Service equivalents and ECMWF runs indicate overnight lows in Buenos Aires on September 8 will likely fall in the 6–8°C range under clear skies and light northerly flow, allowing moderate radiative cooling after a period of cooler-than-average early-spring conditions. This aligns with the market’s emphasis on single-digit outcomes while the 49% implied probability on 3°C or below reflects residual model spread and potential for stronger cold-air advection. The 29.5% on 13°C or higher captures upside uncertainty if warmer northerly flow strengthens. September climatology shows average lows near 10°C, so the current pattern represents a modest negative anomaly that traders appear to be weighting heavily ahead of final pre-event updates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 6, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
Volume
$0Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 8, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 6, 2026, 8:29 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from agencies including the National Weather Service equivalents and ECMWF runs indicate overnight lows in Buenos Aires on September 8 will likely fall in the 6–8°C range under clear skies and light northerly flow, allowing moderate radiative cooling after a period of cooler-than-average early-spring conditions. This aligns with the market’s emphasis on single-digit outcomes while the 49% implied probability on 3°C or below reflects residual model spread and potential for stronger cold-air advection. The 29.5% on 13°C or higher captures upside uncertainty if warmer northerly flow strengthens. September climatology shows average lows near 10°C, so the current pattern represents a modest negative anomaly that traders appear to be weighting heavily ahead of final pre-event updates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$0Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 8, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 6, 2026, 8:29 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from agencies including the National Weather Service equivalents and ECMWF runs indicate overnight lows in Buenos Aires on September 8 will likely fall in the 6–8°C range under clear skies and light northerly flow, allowing moderate radiative cooling after a period of cooler-than-average early-spring conditions. This aligns with the market’s emphasis on single-digit outcomes while the 49% implied probability on 3°C or below reflects residual model spread and potential for stronger cold-air advection. The 29.5% on 13°C or higher captures upside uncertainty if warmer northerly flow strengthens. September climatology shows average lows near 10°C, so the current pattern represents a modest negative anomaly that traders appear to be weighting heavily ahead of final pre-event updates.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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