Recent model runs from sources like ECMWF and ICON-EU indicate a southerly flow advecting warmer air into central Poland, supporting overnight lows for Warsaw on September 9 around 16–18°C amid partly cloudy skies and light winds. This setup limits radiative cooling while daytime heating reaches the upper 20s to low 30s Celsius. Ensemble spreads highlight sensitivity to exact cloud cover and any late-day showers, which could nudge the minimum a degree or two either way. With resolution hinging on the precise 24-hour low from official observations, trader odds remain closely balanced near even between sub-12°C and above-20°C outcomes, underscoring the narrow uncertainty band typical for short-range temperature markets this close to the event.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Warsaw on September 9?
Lowest temperature in Warsaw on September 9?
11°C or below 99%
21°C or higher 98%
16°C 50%
17°C 49%
BARU
BARU
Sep 9, 2026
11°C or below
99%
12°C
42%
13°C
42%
14°C
42%
15°C
42%
16°C
50%
17°C
49%
18°C
49%
19°C
42%
20°C
42%
21°C or higher
98%
11°C or below 99%
21°C or higher 98%
16°C 50%
17°C 49%
BARU
BARU
Sep 9, 2026
11°C or below
$0 Vol.
99%
12°C
$0 Vol.
42%
13°C
$0 Vol.
42%
14°C
$0 Vol.
42%
15°C
$0 Vol.
42%
16°C
$0 Vol.
50%
17°C
$0 Vol.
49%
18°C
$0 Vol.
49%
19°C
$0 Vol.
42%
20°C
$0 Vol.
42%
21°C or higher
$0 Vol.
98%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model runs from sources like ECMWF and ICON-EU indicate a southerly flow advecting warmer air into central Poland, supporting overnight lows for Warsaw on September 9 around 16–18°C amid partly cloudy skies and light winds. This setup limits radiative cooling while daytime heating reaches the upper 20s to low 30s Celsius. Ensemble spreads highlight sensitivity to exact cloud cover and any late-day showers, which could nudge the minimum a degree or two either way. With resolution hinging on the precise 24-hour low from official observations, trader odds remain closely balanced near even between sub-12°C and above-20°C outcomes, underscoring the narrow uncertainty band typical for short-range temperature markets this close to the event.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 7, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$0Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 9, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 7, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model runs from sources like ECMWF and ICON-EU indicate a southerly flow advecting warmer air into central Poland, supporting overnight lows for Warsaw on September 9 around 16–18°C amid partly cloudy skies and light winds. This setup limits radiative cooling while daytime heating reaches the upper 20s to low 30s Celsius. Ensemble spreads highlight sensitivity to exact cloud cover and any late-day showers, which could nudge the minimum a degree or two either way. With resolution hinging on the precise 24-hour low from official observations, trader odds remain closely balanced near even between sub-12°C and above-20°C outcomes, underscoring the narrow uncertainty band typical for short-range temperature markets this close to the event.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$0Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 9, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 7, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model runs from sources like ECMWF and ICON-EU indicate a southerly flow advecting warmer air into central Poland, supporting overnight lows for Warsaw on September 9 around 16–18°C amid partly cloudy skies and light winds. This setup limits radiative cooling while daytime heating reaches the upper 20s to low 30s Celsius. Ensemble spreads highlight sensitivity to exact cloud cover and any late-day showers, which could nudge the minimum a degree or two either way. With resolution hinging on the precise 24-hour low from official observations, trader odds remain closely balanced near even between sub-12°C and above-20°C outcomes, underscoring the narrow uncertainty band typical for short-range temperature markets this close to the event.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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