Recent model runs from sources including ECMWF and regional forecasts show Sao Paulo highs clustering around 28–29°C on September 11, following cooler, rainy conditions on the 10th with a passing low-pressure system. Northwesterly winds, partial cloud cover, and scattered shower potential introduce modest cooling that could limit the peak near 28°C, while clearer intervals or stronger insolation support a brief climb toward 30°C. Trader consensus around these outcomes reflects genuine ensemble spread in timing of any front and boundary-layer moisture, with lower probabilities assigned to more extreme values given September climatology and current observational trends. Updated model guidance expected overnight will likely refine resolution criteria.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Sao Paulo on September 11?
Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on September 11?
29°C 30%
28°C 22%
30°C 18%
27°C 11%
BARU
BARU
Sep 11, 2026
25°C or below
2%
26°C
4%
27°C
11%
28°C
22%
29°C
30%
30°C
18%
31°C
8%
32°C
2%
33°C
1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
29°C 30%
28°C 22%
30°C 18%
27°C 11%
BARU
BARU
Sep 11, 2026
25°C or below
$351 Vol.
2%
26°C
$104 Vol.
4%
27°C
$275 Vol.
11%
28°C
$396 Vol.
22%
29°C
$734 Vol.
30%
30°C
$70 Vol.
18%
31°C
$151 Vol.
8%
32°C
$25 Vol.
2%
33°C
$20 Vol.
1%
34°C
$443 Vol.
<1%
35°C or higher
$758 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model runs from sources including ECMWF and regional forecasts show Sao Paulo highs clustering around 28–29°C on September 11, following cooler, rainy conditions on the 10th with a passing low-pressure system. Northwesterly winds, partial cloud cover, and scattered shower potential introduce modest cooling that could limit the peak near 28°C, while clearer intervals or stronger insolation support a brief climb toward 30°C. Trader consensus around these outcomes reflects genuine ensemble spread in timing of any front and boundary-layer moisture, with lower probabilities assigned to more extreme values given September climatology and current observational trends. Updated model guidance expected overnight will likely refine resolution criteria.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 9, 2026, 8:55 AM ET
Volume
$3,327Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 11, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 9, 2026, 8:55 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model runs from sources including ECMWF and regional forecasts show Sao Paulo highs clustering around 28–29°C on September 11, following cooler, rainy conditions on the 10th with a passing low-pressure system. Northwesterly winds, partial cloud cover, and scattered shower potential introduce modest cooling that could limit the peak near 28°C, while clearer intervals or stronger insolation support a brief climb toward 30°C. Trader consensus around these outcomes reflects genuine ensemble spread in timing of any front and boundary-layer moisture, with lower probabilities assigned to more extreme values given September climatology and current observational trends. Updated model guidance expected overnight will likely refine resolution criteria.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,327Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 11, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 9, 2026, 8:55 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model runs from sources including ECMWF and regional forecasts show Sao Paulo highs clustering around 28–29°C on September 11, following cooler, rainy conditions on the 10th with a passing low-pressure system. Northwesterly winds, partial cloud cover, and scattered shower potential introduce modest cooling that could limit the peak near 28°C, while clearer intervals or stronger insolation support a brief climb toward 30°C. Trader consensus around these outcomes reflects genuine ensemble spread in timing of any front and boundary-layer moisture, with lower probabilities assigned to more extreme values given September climatology and current observational trends. Updated model guidance expected overnight will likely refine resolution criteria.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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