Northeast monsoon flow has driven trader consensus toward a 25°C minimum in Hong Kong on September 11, with market-implied odds at 99.5% for that outcome. Steady north to northeast winds of 4–5 m/s under the monsoon regime promoted drier air and clearer skies overnight, enhancing radiative cooling consistent with Hong Kong Observatory forecasts of a 25–31°C daily range. Historical September minima near 24–26°C and recent observations of daytime maxima around 31–32°C with relative humidity dropping below 60% reinforced expectations of an exact 25°C low. Limited cloud cover and stable steering patterns reduced uncertainty in overnight temperature drops. A sudden increase in cloudiness, weaker winds, or revised observational data from the Observatory could still shift the recorded absolute daily minimum outside the 25°C band.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Hong Kong on September 11?
Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on September 11?
25°C 99.5%
23°C 2.0%
24°C 1.0%
26°C 1.0%
$38,270 Vol.
$38,270 Vol.
Sep 11, 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
2%
24°C
1%
25°C
100%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
25°C 99.5%
23°C 2.0%
24°C 1.0%
26°C 1.0%
$38,270 Vol.
$38,270 Vol.
Sep 11, 2026
21°C or below
$1,045 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$1,050 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$2,591 Vol.
2%
24°C
$5,713 Vol.
1%
25°C
$9,866 Vol.
100%
26°C
$5,754 Vol.
1%
27°C
$8,880 Vol.
1%
28°C
$3,103 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$86 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$96 Vol.
<1%
31°C or higher
$86 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Northeast monsoon flow has driven trader consensus toward a 25°C minimum in Hong Kong on September 11, with market-implied odds at 99.5% for that outcome. Steady north to northeast winds of 4–5 m/s under the monsoon regime promoted drier air and clearer skies overnight, enhancing radiative cooling consistent with Hong Kong Observatory forecasts of a 25–31°C daily range. Historical September minima near 24–26°C and recent observations of daytime maxima around 31–32°C with relative humidity dropping below 60% reinforced expectations of an exact 25°C low. Limited cloud cover and stable steering patterns reduced uncertainty in overnight temperature drops. A sudden increase in cloudiness, weaker winds, or revised observational data from the Observatory could still shift the recorded absolute daily minimum outside the 25°C band.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 9, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$38,270Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 11, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 9, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Northeast monsoon flow has driven trader consensus toward a 25°C minimum in Hong Kong on September 11, with market-implied odds at 99.5% for that outcome. Steady north to northeast winds of 4–5 m/s under the monsoon regime promoted drier air and clearer skies overnight, enhancing radiative cooling consistent with Hong Kong Observatory forecasts of a 25–31°C daily range. Historical September minima near 24–26°C and recent observations of daytime maxima around 31–32°C with relative humidity dropping below 60% reinforced expectations of an exact 25°C low. Limited cloud cover and stable steering patterns reduced uncertainty in overnight temperature drops. A sudden increase in cloudiness, weaker winds, or revised observational data from the Observatory could still shift the recorded absolute daily minimum outside the 25°C band.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$38,270Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 11, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 9, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Northeast monsoon flow has driven trader consensus toward a 25°C minimum in Hong Kong on September 11, with market-implied odds at 99.5% for that outcome. Steady north to northeast winds of 4–5 m/s under the monsoon regime promoted drier air and clearer skies overnight, enhancing radiative cooling consistent with Hong Kong Observatory forecasts of a 25–31°C daily range. Historical September minima near 24–26°C and recent observations of daytime maxima around 31–32°C with relative humidity dropping below 60% reinforced expectations of an exact 25°C low. Limited cloud cover and stable steering patterns reduced uncertainty in overnight temperature drops. A sudden increase in cloudiness, weaker winds, or revised observational data from the Observatory could still shift the recorded absolute daily minimum outside the 25°C band.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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