Recent ensemble forecasts from models such as ECMWF and GFS position trader consensus around a September 13 high of 20–21°C in Amsterdam, reflecting mild Atlantic flow, persistent cloud cover, and scattered showers that limit daytime warming. These conditions align with the market-implied odds favoring 21°C at 54% and 20°C at 35.5%, consistent with climatological norms near 19.5°C yet tempered by expected precipitation and westerly winds. Model agreement remains strong on this range, with limited upside potential above 22°C given the unsettled pattern, while downside risks to 19°C or below stay low absent sharper cooling. Updated short-range guidance ahead of resolution will likely refine these probabilities.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Amsterdam on September 13?
Highest temperature in Amsterdam on September 13?
21°C 53%
20°C 39%
22°C 6%
19°C 4%
BARU
BARU
Sep 13, 2026
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
2%
18°C
2%
19°C
4%
20°C
39%
21°C
53%
22°C
6%
23°C
2%
24°C or higher
1%
21°C 53%
20°C 39%
22°C 6%
19°C 4%
BARU
BARU
Sep 13, 2026
14°C or below
$137 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$116 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$104 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$0 Vol.
2%
18°C
$76 Vol.
2%
19°C
$391 Vol.
4%
20°C
$598 Vol.
39%
21°C
$1,465 Vol.
53%
22°C
$407 Vol.
6%
23°C
$195 Vol.
2%
24°C or higher
$184 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from models such as ECMWF and GFS position trader consensus around a September 13 high of 20–21°C in Amsterdam, reflecting mild Atlantic flow, persistent cloud cover, and scattered showers that limit daytime warming. These conditions align with the market-implied odds favoring 21°C at 54% and 20°C at 35.5%, consistent with climatological norms near 19.5°C yet tempered by expected precipitation and westerly winds. Model agreement remains strong on this range, with limited upside potential above 22°C given the unsettled pattern, while downside risks to 19°C or below stay low absent sharper cooling. Updated short-range guidance ahead of resolution will likely refine these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 11, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$3,673Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 13, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 11, 2026, 12:58 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from models such as ECMWF and GFS position trader consensus around a September 13 high of 20–21°C in Amsterdam, reflecting mild Atlantic flow, persistent cloud cover, and scattered showers that limit daytime warming. These conditions align with the market-implied odds favoring 21°C at 54% and 20°C at 35.5%, consistent with climatological norms near 19.5°C yet tempered by expected precipitation and westerly winds. Model agreement remains strong on this range, with limited upside potential above 22°C given the unsettled pattern, while downside risks to 19°C or below stay low absent sharper cooling. Updated short-range guidance ahead of resolution will likely refine these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,673Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 13, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 11, 2026, 12:58 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from models such as ECMWF and GFS position trader consensus around a September 13 high of 20–21°C in Amsterdam, reflecting mild Atlantic flow, persistent cloud cover, and scattered showers that limit daytime warming. These conditions align with the market-implied odds favoring 21°C at 54% and 20°C at 35.5%, consistent with climatological norms near 19.5°C yet tempered by expected precipitation and westerly winds. Model agreement remains strong on this range, with limited upside potential above 22°C given the unsettled pattern, while downside risks to 19°C or below stay low absent sharper cooling. Updated short-range guidance ahead of resolution will likely refine these probabilities.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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