**Forecast models indicate a high near 10–12°C in Buenos Aires on September 13, 2026, with southerly flow and building high pressure (around 1030–1035 hPa) suppressing warmer advection while allowing modest daytime heating under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies.** Recent observations show persistent cool conditions following earlier September variability, with surface temperatures currently in the 10–13°C range and dew points supporting limited moisture. The close 42% and 37.5% market-implied odds for 12°C versus 13°C reflect small ensemble spreads in afternoon boundary-layer warming and exact wind shift timing from easterly components, which can alter peak readings by 1–2°C. Official guidance from sources like the Met Office and local analyses emphasizes light winds (5–10 km/h) and minimal precipitation risk, keeping the outcome sensitive to minor model differences in solar insolation and mixing. Updated runs closer to the event will likely narrow this tight consensus.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Buenos Aires on September 13?
Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on September 13?
12°C 41%
13°C 38%
11°C 11%
14°C 7%
BARU
BARU
Sep 13, 2026
8°C or below
1%
9°C
2%
10°C
3%
11°C
11%
12°C
41%
13°C
38%
14°C
7%
15°C
4%
16°C
1%
17°C
<1%
18°C or higher
<1%
12°C 41%
13°C 38%
11°C 11%
14°C 7%
BARU
BARU
Sep 13, 2026
8°C or below
$173 Vol.
1%
9°C
$146 Vol.
2%
10°C
$140 Vol.
3%
11°C
$765 Vol.
11%
12°C
$702 Vol.
41%
13°C
$490 Vol.
38%
14°C
$388 Vol.
7%
15°C
$131 Vol.
4%
16°C
$133 Vol.
1%
17°C
$451 Vol.
<1%
18°C or higher
$119 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models indicate a high near 10–12°C in Buenos Aires on September 13, 2026, with southerly flow and building high pressure (around 1030–1035 hPa) suppressing warmer advection while allowing modest daytime heating under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies.** Recent observations show persistent cool conditions following earlier September variability, with surface temperatures currently in the 10–13°C range and dew points supporting limited moisture. The close 42% and 37.5% market-implied odds for 12°C versus 13°C reflect small ensemble spreads in afternoon boundary-layer warming and exact wind shift timing from easterly components, which can alter peak readings by 1–2°C. Official guidance from sources like the Met Office and local analyses emphasizes light winds (5–10 km/h) and minimal precipitation risk, keeping the outcome sensitive to minor model differences in solar insolation and mixing. Updated runs closer to the event will likely narrow this tight consensus.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 11, 2026, 8:55 AM ET
Volume
$3,637Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 13, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 11, 2026, 8:55 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models indicate a high near 10–12°C in Buenos Aires on September 13, 2026, with southerly flow and building high pressure (around 1030–1035 hPa) suppressing warmer advection while allowing modest daytime heating under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies.** Recent observations show persistent cool conditions following earlier September variability, with surface temperatures currently in the 10–13°C range and dew points supporting limited moisture. The close 42% and 37.5% market-implied odds for 12°C versus 13°C reflect small ensemble spreads in afternoon boundary-layer warming and exact wind shift timing from easterly components, which can alter peak readings by 1–2°C. Official guidance from sources like the Met Office and local analyses emphasizes light winds (5–10 km/h) and minimal precipitation risk, keeping the outcome sensitive to minor model differences in solar insolation and mixing. Updated runs closer to the event will likely narrow this tight consensus.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,637Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 13, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 11, 2026, 8:55 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models indicate a high near 10–12°C in Buenos Aires on September 13, 2026, with southerly flow and building high pressure (around 1030–1035 hPa) suppressing warmer advection while allowing modest daytime heating under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies.** Recent observations show persistent cool conditions following earlier September variability, with surface temperatures currently in the 10–13°C range and dew points supporting limited moisture. The close 42% and 37.5% market-implied odds for 12°C versus 13°C reflect small ensemble spreads in afternoon boundary-layer warming and exact wind shift timing from easterly components, which can alter peak readings by 1–2°C. Official guidance from sources like the Met Office and local analyses emphasizes light winds (5–10 km/h) and minimal precipitation risk, keeping the outcome sensitive to minor model differences in solar insolation and mixing. Updated runs closer to the event will likely narrow this tight consensus.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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