Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs show subtropical ridging dominating the region, sustaining high humidity and light easterly flow with no significant cold-air advection ahead of September 14. Overnight lows are projected in the upper 70s°F under partly cloudy skies and scattered thunderstorm activity, consistent with climatological September minima near Miami. This pattern supports market-implied odds favoring the 69°F-or-below bucket at 49.5 percent only if unexpected model shifts introduce stronger northerly flow or heavier nocturnal cooling; otherwise, the clustering around 76–81°F buckets aligns with the consensus forecast range of 78°F. Traders appear to be weighting residual uncertainty in short-range guidance and potential convective outflows that could briefly lower surface readings. Updated model runs and National Hurricane Center discussions through the weekend will provide the next key data points for refining these probabilities.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Miami on September 14?
Lowest temperature in Miami on September 14?
69°F or below 48%
74-75°F 40%
76-77°F 40%
78-79°F 40%
BARU
BARU
Sep 14, 2026
69°F or below
48%
70-71°F
38%
72-73°F
38%
74-75°F
40%
76-77°F
40%
78-79°F
40%
80-81°F
38%
82-83°F
38%
84-85°F
38%
86-87°F
1%
88°F or higher
1%
69°F or below 48%
74-75°F 40%
76-77°F 40%
78-79°F 40%
BARU
BARU
Sep 14, 2026
69°F or below
$0 Vol.
48%
70-71°F
$0 Vol.
38%
72-73°F
$0 Vol.
38%
74-75°F
$0 Vol.
40%
76-77°F
$0 Vol.
40%
78-79°F
$0 Vol.
40%
80-81°F
$0 Vol.
38%
82-83°F
$0 Vol.
38%
84-85°F
$0 Vol.
38%
86-87°F
$0 Vol.
1%
88°F or higher
$0 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs show subtropical ridging dominating the region, sustaining high humidity and light easterly flow with no significant cold-air advection ahead of September 14. Overnight lows are projected in the upper 70s°F under partly cloudy skies and scattered thunderstorm activity, consistent with climatological September minima near Miami. This pattern supports market-implied odds favoring the 69°F-or-below bucket at 49.5 percent only if unexpected model shifts introduce stronger northerly flow or heavier nocturnal cooling; otherwise, the clustering around 76–81°F buckets aligns with the consensus forecast range of 78°F. Traders appear to be weighting residual uncertainty in short-range guidance and potential convective outflows that could briefly lower surface readings. Updated model runs and National Hurricane Center discussions through the weekend will provide the next key data points for refining these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 12, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
Volume
$0Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 14, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 12, 2026, 3:29 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs show subtropical ridging dominating the region, sustaining high humidity and light easterly flow with no significant cold-air advection ahead of September 14. Overnight lows are projected in the upper 70s°F under partly cloudy skies and scattered thunderstorm activity, consistent with climatological September minima near Miami. This pattern supports market-implied odds favoring the 69°F-or-below bucket at 49.5 percent only if unexpected model shifts introduce stronger northerly flow or heavier nocturnal cooling; otherwise, the clustering around 76–81°F buckets aligns with the consensus forecast range of 78°F. Traders appear to be weighting residual uncertainty in short-range guidance and potential convective outflows that could briefly lower surface readings. Updated model runs and National Hurricane Center discussions through the weekend will provide the next key data points for refining these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$0Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 14, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 12, 2026, 3:29 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs show subtropical ridging dominating the region, sustaining high humidity and light easterly flow with no significant cold-air advection ahead of September 14. Overnight lows are projected in the upper 70s°F under partly cloudy skies and scattered thunderstorm activity, consistent with climatological September minima near Miami. This pattern supports market-implied odds favoring the 69°F-or-below bucket at 49.5 percent only if unexpected model shifts introduce stronger northerly flow or heavier nocturnal cooling; otherwise, the clustering around 76–81°F buckets aligns with the consensus forecast range of 78°F. Traders appear to be weighting residual uncertainty in short-range guidance and potential convective outflows that could briefly lower surface readings. Updated model runs and National Hurricane Center discussions through the weekend will provide the next key data points for refining these probabilities.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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