Recent forecast model runs from the National Weather Service and NOAA show considerable uncertainty in overnight low temperatures for Chicago on September 14, with ensembles splitting between a cooler air mass advecting from the north and lingering warmer, humid conditions. This bifurcation underpins the near-even market-implied odds on sub-50°F versus 68°F-plus outcomes, while mid-range buckets reflect lower trader conviction. Key variables include the precise timing of any frontal passage, cloud cover affecting radiational cooling, and wind speeds that could limit temperature drops. Updated model guidance and local observations tomorrow morning will likely resolve much of the spread before market resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Chicago on September 14?
Lowest temperature in Chicago on September 14?
49°F or below 79%
68°F or higher 79%
60-61°F 39%
54-55°F 25%
BARU
BARU
Sep 14, 2026
49°F or below
79%
50-51°F
21%
52-53°F
22%
54-55°F
25%
56-57°F
21%
58-59°F
21%
60-61°F
39%
62-63°F
13%
64-65°F
13%
66-67°F
13%
68°F or higher
79%
49°F or below 79%
68°F or higher 79%
60-61°F 39%
54-55°F 25%
BARU
BARU
Sep 14, 2026
49°F or below
$0 Vol.
79%
50-51°F
$0 Vol.
21%
52-53°F
$21 Vol.
22%
54-55°F
$0 Vol.
25%
56-57°F
$0 Vol.
21%
58-59°F
$0 Vol.
21%
60-61°F
$0 Vol.
39%
62-63°F
$0 Vol.
13%
64-65°F
$0 Vol.
13%
66-67°F
$0 Vol.
13%
68°F or higher
$0 Vol.
79%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model runs from the National Weather Service and NOAA show considerable uncertainty in overnight low temperatures for Chicago on September 14, with ensembles splitting between a cooler air mass advecting from the north and lingering warmer, humid conditions. This bifurcation underpins the near-even market-implied odds on sub-50°F versus 68°F-plus outcomes, while mid-range buckets reflect lower trader conviction. Key variables include the precise timing of any frontal passage, cloud cover affecting radiational cooling, and wind speeds that could limit temperature drops. Updated model guidance and local observations tomorrow morning will likely resolve much of the spread before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 12, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
Volume
$21Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 14, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 12, 2026, 3:29 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model runs from the National Weather Service and NOAA show considerable uncertainty in overnight low temperatures for Chicago on September 14, with ensembles splitting between a cooler air mass advecting from the north and lingering warmer, humid conditions. This bifurcation underpins the near-even market-implied odds on sub-50°F versus 68°F-plus outcomes, while mid-range buckets reflect lower trader conviction. Key variables include the precise timing of any frontal passage, cloud cover affecting radiational cooling, and wind speeds that could limit temperature drops. Updated model guidance and local observations tomorrow morning will likely resolve much of the spread before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$21Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 14, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 12, 2026, 3:29 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast model runs from the National Weather Service and NOAA show considerable uncertainty in overnight low temperatures for Chicago on September 14, with ensembles splitting between a cooler air mass advecting from the north and lingering warmer, humid conditions. This bifurcation underpins the near-even market-implied odds on sub-50°F versus 68°F-plus outcomes, while mid-range buckets reflect lower trader conviction. Key variables include the precise timing of any frontal passage, cloud cover affecting radiational cooling, and wind speeds that could limit temperature drops. Updated model guidance and local observations tomorrow morning will likely resolve much of the spread before market resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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