Trader consensus favoring 34°C as the implied probability leader for Taipei's September 13 high stems from Central Weather Administration guidance and ensemble models projecting a daytime peak of 33–34°C under partly cloudy skies and moderating easterly winds. Recent northeasterly flow has delivered localized heavy rain and cloud cover through September 12, but forecasts indicate clearing on the 13th that supports modest warming above the seasonal 31°C average. Minor model spread around 33–35°C, plus uncertainty in shower timing and humidity, keeps 33°C and 35°C as viable alternatives in trader positioning ahead of final observational data.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Taipei on September 13?
34°C 47%
33°C 28%
35°C 17%
32°C 6%
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
2%
31°C
2%
32°C
6%
33°C
28%
34°C
47%
35°C
17%
36°C
3%
37°C or higher
1%
34°C 47%
33°C 28%
35°C 17%
32°C 6%
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
2%
31°C
2%
32°C
6%
33°C
28%
34°C
47%
35°C
17%
36°C
3%
37°C or higher
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 11, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus favoring 34°C as the implied probability leader for Taipei's September 13 high stems from Central Weather Administration guidance and ensemble models projecting a daytime peak of 33–34°C under partly cloudy skies and moderating easterly winds. Recent northeasterly flow has delivered localized heavy rain and cloud cover through September 12, but forecasts indicate clearing on the 13th that supports modest warming above the seasonal 31°C average. Minor model spread around 33–35°C, plus uncertainty in shower timing and humidity, keeps 33°C and 35°C as viable alternatives in trader positioning ahead of final observational data.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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