Trader consensus clusters around 31–33°C for Shenzhen’s September 12 high, underscoring short-term forecast uncertainty in a subtropical regime where humidity, cloud cover, and any lingering monsoon moisture strongly modulate daytime heating. Ensemble guidance from models such as ECMWF and GFS shows modest spread in maximum temperatures tied to the timing and extent of possible showers or wind shifts, while historical September baselines for the city hover near 30–32°C. Official China Meteorological Administration updates, next model cycles, and local station observations will determine resolution, with traders pricing in realistic scenario branches that could shift the outcome by 1–2°C.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Shenzhen on September 12?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on September 12?
32°C 32%
31°C 26%
33°C 21%
34°C 13%
BARU
BARU
Sep 12, 2026
27°C or below
4%
28°C
6%
29°C
7%
30°C
10%
31°C
26%
32°C
32%
33°C
21%
34°C
13%
35°C
6%
36°C
4%
37°C or higher
3%
32°C 32%
31°C 26%
33°C 21%
34°C 13%
BARU
BARU
Sep 12, 2026
27°C or below
$0 Vol.
4%
28°C
$0 Vol.
6%
29°C
$17 Vol.
7%
30°C
$35 Vol.
10%
31°C
$7 Vol.
26%
32°C
$0 Vol.
32%
33°C
$31 Vol.
21%
34°C
$0 Vol.
13%
35°C
$0 Vol.
6%
36°C
$0 Vol.
4%
37°C or higher
$0 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus clusters around 31–33°C for Shenzhen’s September 12 high, underscoring short-term forecast uncertainty in a subtropical regime where humidity, cloud cover, and any lingering monsoon moisture strongly modulate daytime heating. Ensemble guidance from models such as ECMWF and GFS shows modest spread in maximum temperatures tied to the timing and extent of possible showers or wind shifts, while historical September baselines for the city hover near 30–32°C. Official China Meteorological Administration updates, next model cycles, and local station observations will determine resolution, with traders pricing in realistic scenario branches that could shift the outcome by 1–2°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 10, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$89Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 12, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 10, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus clusters around 31–33°C for Shenzhen’s September 12 high, underscoring short-term forecast uncertainty in a subtropical regime where humidity, cloud cover, and any lingering monsoon moisture strongly modulate daytime heating. Ensemble guidance from models such as ECMWF and GFS shows modest spread in maximum temperatures tied to the timing and extent of possible showers or wind shifts, while historical September baselines for the city hover near 30–32°C. Official China Meteorological Administration updates, next model cycles, and local station observations will determine resolution, with traders pricing in realistic scenario branches that could shift the outcome by 1–2°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$89Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 12, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 10, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus clusters around 31–33°C for Shenzhen’s September 12 high, underscoring short-term forecast uncertainty in a subtropical regime where humidity, cloud cover, and any lingering monsoon moisture strongly modulate daytime heating. Ensemble guidance from models such as ECMWF and GFS shows modest spread in maximum temperatures tied to the timing and extent of possible showers or wind shifts, while historical September baselines for the city hover near 30–32°C. Official China Meteorological Administration updates, next model cycles, and local station observations will determine resolution, with traders pricing in realistic scenario branches that could shift the outcome by 1–2°C.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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