Recent official forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and ensemble models place Tokyo's September 12 maximum near 24–26°C under mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers possible. Persistent northeasterly flow and elevated humidity following cooler, rainier conditions on the 10th–11th limit daytime heating while cloud thickness and shower timing create the narrow spread among leading outcomes. Model consensus remains tight, with minor differences in predicted solar insolation and boundary-layer moisture explaining the closely matched 24°C, 25°C, and 26°C probabilities. Updated JMA guidance and next global model cycles ahead of the weekend will likely tighten the range before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Tokyo on September 12?
Highest temperature in Tokyo on September 12?
25°C 34%
24°C 27%
26°C 20%
27°C 10%
BARU
BARU
Sep 12, 2026
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
3%
21°C
3%
22°C
5%
23°C
9%
24°C
27%
25°C
34%
26°C
20%
27°C
10%
28°C or higher
4%
25°C 34%
24°C 27%
26°C 20%
27°C 10%
BARU
BARU
Sep 12, 2026
18°C or below
$13 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$0 Vol.
1%
20°C
$0 Vol.
3%
21°C
$124 Vol.
3%
22°C
$5 Vol.
5%
23°C
$24 Vol.
9%
24°C
$56 Vol.
27%
25°C
$20 Vol.
34%
26°C
$10 Vol.
20%
27°C
$27 Vol.
10%
28°C or higher
$0 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and ensemble models place Tokyo's September 12 maximum near 24–26°C under mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers possible. Persistent northeasterly flow and elevated humidity following cooler, rainier conditions on the 10th–11th limit daytime heating while cloud thickness and shower timing create the narrow spread among leading outcomes. Model consensus remains tight, with minor differences in predicted solar insolation and boundary-layer moisture explaining the closely matched 24°C, 25°C, and 26°C probabilities. Updated JMA guidance and next global model cycles ahead of the weekend will likely tighten the range before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 10, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$278Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 12, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 10, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and ensemble models place Tokyo's September 12 maximum near 24–26°C under mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers possible. Persistent northeasterly flow and elevated humidity following cooler, rainier conditions on the 10th–11th limit daytime heating while cloud thickness and shower timing create the narrow spread among leading outcomes. Model consensus remains tight, with minor differences in predicted solar insolation and boundary-layer moisture explaining the closely matched 24°C, 25°C, and 26°C probabilities. Updated JMA guidance and next global model cycles ahead of the weekend will likely tighten the range before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$278Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 12, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 10, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and ensemble models place Tokyo's September 12 maximum near 24–26°C under mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers possible. Persistent northeasterly flow and elevated humidity following cooler, rainier conditions on the 10th–11th limit daytime heating while cloud thickness and shower timing create the narrow spread among leading outcomes. Model consensus remains tight, with minor differences in predicted solar insolation and boundary-layer moisture explaining the closely matched 24°C, 25°C, and 26°C probabilities. Updated JMA guidance and next global model cycles ahead of the weekend will likely tighten the range before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan