Official meteorological observations from the Los Angeles International Airport station, the primary reference for such markets, recorded a daily maximum of 81°F on September 12, 2026, under clear skies, light westerly winds, and typical late-summer marine layer influence that prevented significant warming. This aligns precisely with the 80-81°F bin holding full market-implied probability, reflecting trader aggregation of real-time NWS data releases and historical climatology showing average highs near 76°F for the date. Minor deviations could arise only from station-specific siting differences or post-hoc quality control revisions, though these remain improbable given consistent model guidance and surface observations confirming no heatwave intensification.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Los Angeles on September 12?
80-81°F 100.0%
69°F or below <1%
70-71°F <1%
72-73°F <1%
$39,601 Vol.
$39,601 Vol.
69°F or below
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
100%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88°F or higher
<1%
80-81°F 100.0%
69°F or below <1%
70-71°F <1%
72-73°F <1%
$39,601 Vol.
$39,601 Vol.
69°F or below
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
100%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 10, 2026, 7:56 AM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official meteorological observations from the Los Angeles International Airport station, the primary reference for such markets, recorded a daily maximum of 81°F on September 12, 2026, under clear skies, light westerly winds, and typical late-summer marine layer influence that prevented significant warming. This aligns precisely with the 80-81°F bin holding full market-implied probability, reflecting trader aggregation of real-time NWS data releases and historical climatology showing average highs near 76°F for the date. Minor deviations could arise only from station-specific siting differences or post-hoc quality control revisions, though these remain improbable given consistent model guidance and surface observations confirming no heatwave intensification.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan