Recent forecast models from sources like GFS indicate Istanbul's high temperature on September 15 will likely reach 22–23°C under mostly cloudy skies and moderate northeasterly winds, explaining the near-even market split between those outcomes. Persistent cloud cover limits daytime solar insolation and surface heating compared to clearer conditions, while the regional pressure gradient sustains cooler advection from the Black Sea. Seasonal norms for mid-September hover near 23–25°C, but current synoptic patterns suppress the upper end of that range. Minor model discrepancies in exact cloud thickness or timing of peak warmth create the tight probability distribution, with resolution hinging on official station observations.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Istanbul on September 15?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on September 15?
22°C 58%
23°C 40%
24°C 3.4%
27°C <1%
BARU
$14,768 Vol.
BARU
$14,768 Vol.
Sep 15, 2026
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
48%
23°C
45%
24°C
3%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C or higher
<1%
22°C 58%
23°C 40%
24°C 3.4%
27°C <1%
BARU
$14,768 Vol.
BARU
$14,768 Vol.
Sep 15, 2026
18°C or below
$1,312 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$1,345 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$681 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$1,517 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$2,747 Vol.
48%
23°C
$2,535 Vol.
45%
24°C
$2,696 Vol.
3%
25°C
$995 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$450 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$332 Vol.
1%
28°C or higher
$157 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from sources like GFS indicate Istanbul's high temperature on September 15 will likely reach 22–23°C under mostly cloudy skies and moderate northeasterly winds, explaining the near-even market split between those outcomes. Persistent cloud cover limits daytime solar insolation and surface heating compared to clearer conditions, while the regional pressure gradient sustains cooler advection from the Black Sea. Seasonal norms for mid-September hover near 23–25°C, but current synoptic patterns suppress the upper end of that range. Minor model discrepancies in exact cloud thickness or timing of peak warmth create the tight probability distribution, with resolution hinging on official station observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 13, 2026, 12:58 PM ET
Volume
$14,768Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 15, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 13, 2026, 12:58 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from sources like GFS indicate Istanbul's high temperature on September 15 will likely reach 22–23°C under mostly cloudy skies and moderate northeasterly winds, explaining the near-even market split between those outcomes. Persistent cloud cover limits daytime solar insolation and surface heating compared to clearer conditions, while the regional pressure gradient sustains cooler advection from the Black Sea. Seasonal norms for mid-September hover near 23–25°C, but current synoptic patterns suppress the upper end of that range. Minor model discrepancies in exact cloud thickness or timing of peak warmth create the tight probability distribution, with resolution hinging on official station observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$14,768Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 15, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 13, 2026, 12:58 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from sources like GFS indicate Istanbul's high temperature on September 15 will likely reach 22–23°C under mostly cloudy skies and moderate northeasterly winds, explaining the near-even market split between those outcomes. Persistent cloud cover limits daytime solar insolation and surface heating compared to clearer conditions, while the regional pressure gradient sustains cooler advection from the Black Sea. Seasonal norms for mid-September hover near 23–25°C, but current synoptic patterns suppress the upper end of that range. Minor model discrepancies in exact cloud thickness or timing of peak warmth create the tight probability distribution, with resolution hinging on official station observations.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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