Trader consensus on a 15°C high for Wellington on September 15 reflects real-time observations and model consensus from MetService and international sources showing peak temperatures stabilizing near that threshold amid northwesterly flow and partly cloudy skies. Official station data, including airport readings around 15°C (59°F) with dew points near 10°C, align with climatological norms for mid-September spring conditions in the region, where average daily maxima hover near 13–15°C. Strong market-implied odds capture this narrow range, as wind patterns and pressure gradients have prevented significant warming or cooling today. Resolution hinges on the final verified maximum from the primary reporting station; an unexpected late surge from clearer skies or a shift in steering flow could still nudge the outcome, though current model runs show low probability of deviation beyond 1°C.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Wellington on September 15?
Highest temperature in Wellington on September 15?
15°C 100.0%
11°C or below <1%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
$38,543 Vol.
$38,543 Vol.
Sep 15, 2026
11°C or below
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
Yes
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C or higher
No
15°C 100.0%
11°C or below <1%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
$38,543 Vol.
$38,543 Vol.
Sep 15, 2026
11°C or below
$182 Vol.
No
12°C
$203 Vol.
No
13°C
$1,130 Vol.
No
14°C
$4,509 Vol.
No
15°C
$12,946 Vol.
Yes
16°C
$7,106 Vol.
No
17°C
$7,067 Vol.
No
18°C
$4,158 Vol.
No
19°C
$822 Vol.
No
20°C
$158 Vol.
No
21°C or higher
$262 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus on a 15°C high for Wellington on September 15 reflects real-time observations and model consensus from MetService and international sources showing peak temperatures stabilizing near that threshold amid northwesterly flow and partly cloudy skies. Official station data, including airport readings around 15°C (59°F) with dew points near 10°C, align with climatological norms for mid-September spring conditions in the region, where average daily maxima hover near 13–15°C. Strong market-implied odds capture this narrow range, as wind patterns and pressure gradients have prevented significant warming or cooling today. Resolution hinges on the final verified maximum from the primary reporting station; an unexpected late surge from clearer skies or a shift in steering flow could still nudge the outcome, though current model runs show low probability of deviation beyond 1°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 13, 2026, 12:56 PM ET
Volume
$38,543Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 15, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 13, 2026, 12:56 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: No
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus on a 15°C high for Wellington on September 15 reflects real-time observations and model consensus from MetService and international sources showing peak temperatures stabilizing near that threshold amid northwesterly flow and partly cloudy skies. Official station data, including airport readings around 15°C (59°F) with dew points near 10°C, align with climatological norms for mid-September spring conditions in the region, where average daily maxima hover near 13–15°C. Strong market-implied odds capture this narrow range, as wind patterns and pressure gradients have prevented significant warming or cooling today. Resolution hinges on the final verified maximum from the primary reporting station; an unexpected late surge from clearer skies or a shift in steering flow could still nudge the outcome, though current model runs show low probability of deviation beyond 1°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$38,543Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 15, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 13, 2026, 12:56 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: No
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: No
Trader consensus on a 15°C high for Wellington on September 15 reflects real-time observations and model consensus from MetService and international sources showing peak temperatures stabilizing near that threshold amid northwesterly flow and partly cloudy skies. Official station data, including airport readings around 15°C (59°F) with dew points near 10°C, align with climatological norms for mid-September spring conditions in the region, where average daily maxima hover near 13–15°C. Strong market-implied odds capture this narrow range, as wind patterns and pressure gradients have prevented significant warming or cooling today. Resolution hinges on the final verified maximum from the primary reporting station; an unexpected late surge from clearer skies or a shift in steering flow could still nudge the outcome, though current model runs show low probability of deviation beyond 1°C.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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